Do I ship it?

GamesRPGRPG + Typing

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Typing RPG?

RPG + Typing

Of 41 developers who shipped a Typing RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 62 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.2k, ×6.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $150k, ×246 the market median. Revenue is up 260% on the market; 62 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 260% on the market, 62 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
RPG + Typing
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 41
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $60 → $7.2k → $1.3k → $7.8k → $5.8k → $4.5k (still earning) → $8.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for RPG + Typing: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 41
Bottom 30% $1.2k (exactly $1,150)
Median $4.2k (exactly $4,194)
Top 25% $15k (exactly $14,985)
Top 5% $154k (exactly $154,341)
Developers, 2 yr 41
Released games 110
Announced 62
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 260% on the market, supply 125% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

RPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Typing
effort 1 / 10 · high · keyboard input against a word list

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
RPG, Typing; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Word Game, Puzzle
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Text-Based, 2D, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 4,224 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.2k, median $4.2k, 1 in 4 over $14k, 1 in 20 over $150k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 9 in 10 of the 24 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 62 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds169 devs · median $54k · 144 announced
  2. + IdlerFair357 devs · median $2.2k · 471 announced
  3. + Boss RushFair20 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  4. + SportsFair113 devs · median $1.5k · 124 announced
  5. + Combat RacingFair22 devs · median $629 · 28 announced
  6. + Split ScreenFair28 devs · median $450 · 31 announced
  7. + Precision PlatformerFair41 devs · median $449 · 43 announced
  8. + SamuraiPoor odds14 devs · median $261k · 14 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds76 devs · median $96k · 165 announced
  10. + 4XPoor odds26 devs · median $54k · 56 announced
  11. + MinigamesPoor odds19 devs · median $40k · 34 announced
  12. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds15 devs · median $28k · 19 announced

All 262 pairs on the RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Epistory - Typing Chronicles older $14.99 4,030 94% 121k $1.8M (exactly $1,812,291) Fishing Cactus
Emily is Away <3 older $9.99 6,036 91% 181k $1.8M (exactly $1,808,989) Kyle Seeley
Cryptmaster older $24.99 1,671 94% 50k $1.3M (exactly $1,252,749) Paul Hart, Lee Williams, Akupara Games
Buddy Simulator 1984 older $9.99 3,791 93% 114k $1.1M (exactly $1,136,163) Not a Sailor Studios
CaseCracker older $9.99 3,314 89% 99k $993k (exactly $993,206) BlackRobe
Wagotabi: A Japanese Journey $9.99 1,543 98% 46k $462k (exactly $462,437) Wagotabi Limited
Nanotale - Typing Chronicles older $19.99 698 77% 21k $419k (exactly $418,591) Fishing Cactus
Tap Tap Loot $6.99 815 76% 24k $171k (exactly $170,906) Turtle Knight Games
Hymer 2000 $4.99 1,031 89% 31k $154k (exactly $154,341) doBell
Learn Japanese RPG: Hiragana Forbidden Speech older $19.99 254 98% 7.6k $152k (exactly $152,324) Study Bunny Games LLC
CaseCracker3 $12.99 359 84% 11k $140k (exactly $139,902) BlackRobe
WonderLang Polyglot $39.99 36 80% 1.1k $43k (exactly $43,189) bair games
探岛海龟汤 $9.99 110 71% 3.3k $33k (exactly $32,967) 探岛工作室
Millennium Whisper · EA $11.99 82 64% 2.5k $29k (exactly $29,495) Parable Studios
Tomb of the Bloodletter $7.99 100 88% 3.0k $24k (exactly $23,970) Ethan's Secretions
The Carcass $9.99 76 26% 2.3k $23k (exactly $22,777) PiqFocus Interactive
Portalborn · EA $9.99 72 93% 2.2k $22k (exactly $21,578) TheHand

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.