Do I ship it?

GamesRPGRPG + Tower Defense

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tower Defense RPG?

RPG + Tower Defense

Of 153 developers who shipped a Tower Defense RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 246 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.1k, ×1.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $400k, ×649 the market median. Revenue is up 115% on the market; 246 games are announced against 87 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 115% on the market, 246 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
RPG + Tower Defense
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 153
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.0k → $360 → $2.3k → $3.6k → $2.0k → $449 → $1.7k (still earning) → $419 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for RPG + Tower Defense: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 153
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $1.1k (exactly $1,077)
Top 25% $11k (exactly $10,789)
Top 5% $408k (exactly $407,796)
Developers, 2 yr 153
Released games 441
Announced 246
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 115% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

RPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Tower Defense
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
RPG, Tower Defense; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Roguelike, Base Building
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Top-Down
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 73% positive over 22,026 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $1.1k, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $400k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 8 in 10 of the 74 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 246 games are announced against 87 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds169 devs · median $54k · 144 announced
  2. + IdlerFair357 devs · median $2.2k · 471 announced
  3. + Boss RushFair20 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  4. + SportsFair113 devs · median $1.5k · 124 announced
  5. + Combat RacingFair22 devs · median $629 · 28 announced
  6. + Split ScreenFair28 devs · median $450 · 31 announced
  7. + Precision PlatformerFair41 devs · median $449 · 43 announced
  8. + SamuraiPoor odds14 devs · median $261k · 14 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds76 devs · median $96k · 165 announced
  10. + 4XPoor odds26 devs · median $54k · 56 announced
  11. + MinigamesPoor odds19 devs · median $40k · 34 announced
  12. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds15 devs · median $28k · 19 announced

All 262 pairs on the RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Last Spell older $24.99 13,260 91% 398k $9.9M (exactly $9,941,022) Ishtar Games
Night of the Dead older $29.99 10,380 77% 311k $9.3M (exactly $9,338,886) Jackto Studios
Craft The World older $18.99 15,074 88% 452k $8.6M (exactly $8,587,658) Dekovir Entertainment, Sibear Games
Cultivation Tales older $19.99 12,560 38% 377k $7.5M (exactly $7,532,232) Ac Games
Orcs Must Die! 2 older $14.99 12,924 92% 388k $5.8M (exactly $5,811,923) Robot Entertainment
The Front $19.99 9,555 66% 287k $5.7M (exactly $5,730,134) Samar Studio
Dungeon Defenders older $14.99 12,148 93% 364k $5.5M (exactly $5,462,956) Chromatic Games
Kingdom Rush - Tower Defense older $9.99 14,584 97% 438k $4.4M (exactly $4,370,825) Ironhide Game Studio
Dungeon of the ENDLESS™ older $11.99 9,419 87% 283k $3.4M (exactly $3,388,014) AMPLITUDE Studios
Kingdom Rush Origins - Tower Defense older $14.99 7,466 95% 224k $3.4M (exactly $3,357,460) Ironhide Game Studio
Lessaria: Fantasy Kingdom Sim $24.90 2,938 77% 88k $2.2M (exactly $2,194,686) Rockbee Team
Nordhold $19.99 2,875 87% 86k $1.7M (exactly $1,724,137) StunForge
Dread Dawn $19.99 2,113 71% 63k $1.3M (exactly $1,267,166) Kioop
Gold Gold Adventure Gold $24.99 907 70% 27k $680k (exactly $679,978) Can Can Can a Man
Relic Guardian - Tower Defense $19.99 981 94% 29k $588k (exactly $588,306) Mystrigger
Human Host · EA $16.88 866 83% 26k $439k (exactly $438,542) Virtual Matrix Studio
Crown of Greed $19.99 680 60% 20k $408k (exactly $407,796) BLUM Entertainment
Machine Mind $19.99 567 71% 17k $340k (exactly $340,030) Chudo-Yudo Games
MINOS $17.99 544 88% 16k $294k (exactly $293,597) Artificer

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.