Should I ship a Tanks RPG?
RPG + Tanks
Only 13 developers shipped a Tanks RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Front, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 8 more are announced.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $14k, ×23 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $75; 1 in 20 cleared $5.7M, ×9124 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 8 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $75 (exactly $75) |
|---|---|
| Median | $14k (exactly $14,442) |
| Top 25% | $264k (exactly $263,934) |
| Top 5% | $5.7M (exactly $5,730,134) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 13 |
| Released games | 64 |
| Announced | 8 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $16.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- RPG, Tanks; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, JRPG, Management
- Price point
- $16.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Realistic
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $16.99.
The top 10 games average 68% positive over 11,880 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $75. 5 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 8 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + IdlerFair
- + Boss RushFair
- + SportsFair
- + Combat RacingFair
- + Split ScreenFair
- + Precision PlatformerFair
- + SamuraiPoor odds
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + 4XPoor odds
- + MinigamesPoor odds
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
Comparable games
Valkyria Chronicles 4 Complete Edition 2018 · $8.5M 
Valkyria Chronicles™ 2014 · $6.5M 
The Front 2025 · $5.7M 
SAND LAND 2024 · $1.8M 
Fuga: Melodies of Steel 2021 · $1.4M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Valkyria Chronicles 4 Complete Edition | older | $49.99 | 5,691 86% | 171k | $8.5M (exactly $8,534,793) | SEGA |
| | Valkyria Chronicles™ | older | $19.99 | 10,832 89% | 325k | $6.5M (exactly $6,495,950) | SEGA |
| | The Front | $19.99 | 9,555 66% | 287k | $5.7M (exactly $5,730,134) | Samar Studio | |
| | SAND LAND | older | $59.99 | 1,018 86% | 31k | $1.8M (exactly $1,832,095) | ILCA, Inc. |
| | Fuga: Melodies of Steel | older | $39.99 | 1,181 93% | 35k | $1.4M (exactly $1,416,846) | CyberConnect2 |
 | Metal Slug Tactics | $24.99 | 1,152 76% | 35k | $864k (exactly $863,654) | Leikir Studio | |
 | FRONT MISSION 1st: Remake | older | $34.99 | 745 77% | 22k | $782k (exactly $782,026) | Forever Entertainment S. A. |
 | METAL MAX Xeno Reborn | older | $39.99 | 444 65% | 13k | $533k (exactly $532,667) | 24Frame,inc. |
 | FRONT MISSION 3: Remake | $34.99 | 453 74% | 14k | $476k (exactly $475,514) | MegaPixel Studio S.A. | |
 | Fuga: Melodies of Steel 2 | older | $39.99 | 360 96% | 11k | $432k (exactly $431,892) | CyberConnect2 |
 | Fuga: Melodies of Steel 3 | $39.99 | 220 89% | 6.6k | $264k (exactly $263,934) | CyberConnect2 | |
 | Tankenstein | · EA | $17.99 | 238 89% | 7.1k | $128k (exactly $128,449) | Landship Games LTD |
 | Neuroshima Hex | $9.99 | 93 72% | 2.8k | $28k (exactly $27,872) | Baked Games | |
 | My Waifu Is A Tank Girl! 💕 | $2.99 | 161 80% | 4.8k | $14k (exactly $14,442) | Neko Cloud | |
 | Oath of Steel | $18.99 | 4 0% | 120 | $2.3k (exactly $2,279) | Ling Jun | |
 | BERSERK TANK | $4.50 | 3 66% | 90 | $405 (exactly $405) | WU YU CHENG | |
 | Hostile Paths | $2.49 | 1 100% | 30 | $75 (exactly $75) | Alberto Lanata |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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