Should I ship a Solitaire RPG?
RPG + Solitaire
Of 24 developers who shipped a Solitaire RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 38 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.1k, ×1.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $35k, ×56 the market median. Revenue is down 20% on the market; 38 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $240 (exactly $240) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.1k (exactly $1,079) |
| Top 25% | $3.8k (exactly $3,775) |
| Top 5% | $35k (exactly $35,073) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 24 |
| Released games | 64 |
| Announced | 38 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 20% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- RPG, Solitaire; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Card Battler, Card Game, Strategy
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Anime, 2.5D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 90% positive over 625 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $240. 9 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 38 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + IdlerFair
- + Boss RushFair
- + SportsFair
- + Combat RacingFair
- + Split ScreenFair
- + Precision PlatformerFair
- + SamuraiPoor odds
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + 4XPoor odds
- + MinigamesPoor odds
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
Comparable games
Retirement Simulator 2022 · EA · $1.6M 
Dice & Fold 2024 · $1.4M 
Faerie Solitaire 2010 · $612k 
Shadowhand: RPG Card Game 2017 · $340k 
Ancient Enemy 2020 · $197k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Retirement Simulator | · EA older | $13.99 | 3,757 34% | 113k | $1.6M (exactly $1,576,813) | DoubleThink Studio |
| | Dice & Fold | older | $12.99 | 3,491 83% | 105k | $1.4M (exactly $1,360,443) | Tinymice Entertainment |
| | Faerie Solitaire | older | $14.99 | 1,361 89% | 41k | $612k (exactly $612,042) | Subsoap |
| | Shadowhand: RPG Card Game | older | $16.99 | 668 82% | 20k | $340k (exactly $340,480) | Grey Alien Games |
| | Ancient Enemy | older | $16.99 | 386 89% | 12k | $197k (exactly $196,744) | Grey Alien Games |
 | Faerie Solitaire Remastered | older | $14.99 | 393 83% | 12k | $177k (exactly $176,732) | Subsoap |
 | Solitairica | older | $9.99 | 436 78% | 13k | $131k (exactly $130,669) | Righteous Hammer Games |
 | Queens Casino | $9.99 | 311 98% | 9.3k | $93k (exactly $93,207) | sartahouse | |
 | FreeCell Quest | older | $9.99 | 278 81% | 8.3k | $83k (exactly $83,317) | Legend Studio |
 | Lenin - The Lion | older | $11.99 | 102 90% | 3.1k | $37k (exactly $36,689) | Lornyon |
 | Rainbow Legends | $12.99 | 90 74% | 2.7k | $35k (exactly $35,073) | Unpixel Cloud Cedar Studio | |
 | Pay Back Girls | $9.99 | 38 92% | 1.1k | $11k (exactly $11,389) | The Platypus | |
 | Myth Monkey Card | $5.99 | 62 100% | 1.9k | $11k (exactly $11,141) | Myth Card Studio | |
 | Solitaire Battle | $4.99 | 27 96% | 810 | $4.0k (exactly $4,042) | diabolodev | |
 | Sweep | $6.99 | 18 77% | 540 | $3.8k (exactly $3,775) | On.Production | |
 | Deckbane | $9.99 | 12 66% | 360 | $3.6k (exactly $3,596) | Soong | |
 | Card Rogue | $4.99 | 22 63% | 660 | $3.3k (exactly $3,293) | Game Tsukuru Kun | |
 | CharmEdge Deck | $2.99 | 28 92% | 840 | $2.5k (exactly $2,512) | ChuQingHun | |
 | Card Streamer Simulator | $2.99 | 17 52% | 510 | $1.5k (exactly $1,525) | Scissors Game |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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