Should I ship a Sokoban RPG?
RPG + Sokoban
Only 14 developers shipped a Sokoban RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Lord Ambermaze, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 18 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $780, ×1.2 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $58k, ×94 the market median. Revenue is up 95% on the market; 18 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $358 (exactly $358) |
|---|---|
| Median | $776 (exactly $776) |
| Top 25% | $2.4k (exactly $2,395) |
| Top 5% | $59k (exactly $58,911) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 14 |
| Released games | 51 |
| Announced | 18 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $1.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 95% on the market, supply 45% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- RPG, Sokoban; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Character Customization, Dungeon Crawler
- Price point
- $1.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Story Rich
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $1.99.
The top 10 games average 85% positive over 307 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $360. 9 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 18 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + IdlerFair
- + Boss RushFair
- + SportsFair
- + Combat RacingFair
- + Split ScreenFair
- + Precision PlatformerFair
- + SamuraiPoor odds
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + 4XPoor odds
- + MinigamesPoor odds
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
Comparable games
Ittle Dew 2013 · $288k 
Seek Girl Ⅶ 2020 · $71k 
Seek Girl Ⅵ 2020 · $66k 
Lord Ambermaze 2025 · $59k 
Seek Girl V 2020 · $55k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Ittle Dew | older | $19.99 | 481 92% | 14k | $288k (exactly $288,456) | Ludosity |
| | Seek Girl Ⅶ | older | $1.99 | 1,197 70% | 36k | $71k (exactly $71,461) | DSGame |
| | Seek Girl Ⅵ | older | $1.99 | 1,099 77% | 33k | $66k (exactly $65,610) | DSGame |
| | Lord Ambermaze | $14.99 | 131 91% | 3.9k | $59k (exactly $58,911) | Potata Company | |
| | Seek Girl V | older | $1.99 | 920 72% | 28k | $55k (exactly $54,924) | DSGame |
 | 藏梦 Hidden Dream | older | $12.99 | 51 82% | 1.5k | $20k (exactly $19,875) | 锈钻游戏工作室 |
 | Waifus Smash | older | $2.99 | 205 78% | 6.2k | $18k (exactly $18,388) | Galart |
 | Snowman Story | older | $4.99 | 120 94% | 3.6k | $18k (exactly $17,964) | Odencat |
 | Piggy Gambit | older | $7.99 | 48 93% | 1.4k | $12k (exactly $11,506) | Tofu Soup |
 | 黎明为歌 - Melody before the Dawn | older | $4.99 | 62 88% | 1.9k | $9.3k (exactly $9,281) | Rolling Cat Studio |
 | Demon Corporation: Onboarding | $6.99 | 42 95% | 1.3k | $8.8k (exactly $8,807) | A Shrine of Ludens | |
 | 刻印战记1：法利兹传 | $8.99 | 13 53% | 390 | $3.5k (exactly $3,506) | Lycian Studio | |
 | Dungeonborne Settlement | $4.99 | 16 56% | 480 | $2.4k (exactly $2,395) | Dersty | |
 | Margarita (Berkeley's Maid: Remake Edition) | · EA | $1.60 | 43 60% | 1.3k | $2.1k (exactly $2,064) | Muharukahana Studio, Cydron |
 | 7 Days Before the End | $0.99 | 29 100% | 870 | $861 (exactly $861) | TrucyAkina | |
 | Fluffy Arena | $1.99 | 13 100% | 390 | $776 (exactly $776) | Pet Party | |
 | 博物魅影 | $1.99 | 12 91% | 360 | $716 (exactly $716) | 图南工作室(Tunan Studio) | |
 | Milo's Dream | $5.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $359 (exactly $359) | lightUP | |
 | Dark Flowers: Tiny Starlight | $1.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $358 (exactly $358) | Dawnwing House |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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