Do I ship it?

GamesRPGRPG + Score Attack

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Score Attack RPG?

RPG + Score Attack

Of 107 developers who shipped a Score Attack RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 143 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×1.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $140k, ×232 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 143 games are announced against 61 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 143 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
RPG + Score Attack
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 107
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.6k → $3.7k → $2.9k → $1.9k → $1.8k → $449 → $1.4k (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for RPG + Score Attack: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 107
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $719 (exactly $719)
Top 25% $5.4k (exactly $5,394)
Top 5% $146k (exactly $145,954)
Developers, 2 yr 107
Released games 254
Announced 143
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

RPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Score Attack
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
RPG, Score Attack; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Roguelite, Action Roguelike
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Top-Down, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 33,737 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $720, 1 in 4 over $5.3k, 1 in 20 over $140k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 54 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 143 games are announced against 61 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds169 devs · median $54k · 144 announced
  2. + IdlerFair357 devs · median $2.2k · 471 announced
  3. + Boss RushFair20 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  4. + SportsFair113 devs · median $1.5k · 124 announced
  5. + Combat RacingFair22 devs · median $629 · 28 announced
  6. + Split ScreenFair28 devs · median $450 · 31 announced
  7. + Precision PlatformerFair41 devs · median $449 · 43 announced
  8. + SamuraiPoor odds14 devs · median $261k · 14 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds76 devs · median $96k · 165 announced
  10. + 4XPoor odds26 devs · median $54k · 56 announced
  11. + MinigamesPoor odds19 devs · median $40k · 34 announced
  12. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds15 devs · median $28k · 19 announced

All 262 pairs on the RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Vampire Survivors older $4.99 251,686 98% 7.6M $38M (exactly $37,677,394) poncle
Soulstone Survivors $14.99 25,749 91% 772k $12M (exactly $11,579,325) Game Smithing Limited
20 Minutes Till Dawn older $4.99 27,872 90% 836k $4.2M (exactly $4,172,438) flanne
Orcs Must Die! older $9.99 6,663 95% 200k $2.0M (exactly $1,996,901) Robot Entertainment
Revita older $16.99 1,734 83% 52k $884k (exactly $883,820) BenStar
Vampire Hunters $14.99 1,941 89% 58k $873k (exactly $872,868) Gamecraft Studios
Boneraiser Minions older $4.99 4,967 96% 149k $744k (exactly $743,560) caiys
Bounty of One older $6.99 2,749 88% 82k $576k (exactly $576,465) OptizOnion
Touhou: Scarlet Curiosity older $14.99 1,219 91% 37k $548k (exactly $548,184) Ankake Spa
NIMRODS · EA $9.99 1,783 85% 53k $534k (exactly $534,365) Fiveamp
FatalZone $6.99 2,125 66% 64k $446k (exactly $445,612) Midhard Games
Sodaman $7.99 738 78% 22k $177k (exactly $176,899) Tape Corps
Entropy Survivors $9.99 487 80% 15k $146k (exactly $145,954) Moving Pieces Interactive
Truck-kun is Supporting Me from Another World?! $19.99 238 83% 7.1k $143k (exactly $142,729) Strange Scaffold
Shape Shifter: Formations $14.99 269 91% 8.1k $121k (exactly $120,969) Castec Studios
UNYIELDER $24.99 117 62% 3.5k $88k (exactly $87,715) TrueWorld Studios
Airships: Lost Flotilla $8.99 290 92% 8.7k $78k (exactly $78,213) David Stark

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.