Do I ship it?

GamesReal-TimeReal-Time + Resource Management

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Resource Management Real-Time game?

Real-Time + Resource Management

Only 11 developers shipped a Resource Management Real-Time game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Endzone 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 39 more are announced, ×9.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $33k against a market of $630. 39 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 52.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 39 announced, ×9.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Real-Time + Resource Management
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $157k → $62k → $19k
Outcomes for Real-Time + Resource Management: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $3.6k (exactly $3,599)
Median $33k (exactly $32,922)
Top 25% $62k (exactly $62,338)
Top 5% $804k (exactly $804,332)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 74
Announced 39
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $12.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 45% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Real-Time
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Resource Management
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Real-Time, Resource Management
Price point
$12.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 74% positive over 2,209 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $3.6k, median $33k, 1 in 4 over $62k, 1 in 20 over $800k.

3 in 10 developers made under $3.6k. 4 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 39 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×9.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Real-Time with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Character CustomizationStrong odds7 devs · median $2.0k · 6 announced
  2. + RogueliteFair11 devs · median $11k · 14 announced
  3. + BuildingPoor odds14 devs · median $62k · 20 announced
  4. + HistoricalPoor odds10 devs · median $52k · 15 announced
  5. + WarPoor odds14 devs · median $37k · 20 announced
  6. + Base BuildingPoor odds21 devs · median $37k · 33 announced
  7. + WargamePoor odds13 devs · median $37k · 17 announced
  8. + PhysicsPoor odds7 devs · median $33k · 13 announced
  9. + Tower DefensePoor odds9 devs · median $32k · 17 announced
  10. + Action RTSPoor odds12 devs · median $31k · 18 announced
  11. + StrategyPoor odds39 devs · median $28k · 75 announced
  12. + RTSPoor odds21 devs · median $22k · 40 announced

All 40 pairs on the Real-Time page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Age of Empires II: Definitive Edition older $34.99 158,931 94% 4.8M $167M (exactly $166,829,871) World's Edge, Forgotten Empires, Captur… (World's Edge, Forgotten Empires, CaptureAge, Tantalus Media, Wicked Witch, Feral Interactive)
Age of Empires II (Retired) older $19.99 84,818 95% 2.5M $51M (exactly $50,865,355) Skybox Labs, Hidden Path Entertainment,… (Skybox Labs, Hidden Path Entertainment, Ensemble Studios, Forgotten Empires)
Starship Troopers: Terran Command older $29.99 9,214 87% 276k $8.3M (exactly $8,289,836) The Artistocrats
Anno 2070™ older $19.99 11,571 59% 347k $6.9M (exactly $6,939,129) Blue Byte, Related Designs
Railway Empire older $29.99 7,219 82% 217k $6.5M (exactly $6,494,934) Gaming Minds Studios
Endzone - A World Apart older $24.99 8,311 76% 249k $6.2M (exactly $6,230,757) Gentlymad Studios
Stronghold: Warlords older $39.99 4,449 65% 133k $5.3M (exactly $5,337,465) Firefly Studios
Stronghold Crusader HD (2012) older $9.99 17,564 97% 527k $5.3M (exactly $5,263,931) Firefly Studios
Per Aspera older $29.99 4,105 76% 123k $3.7M (exactly $3,693,268) Tlön Industries
Stronghold 3 Gold older $29.99 3,008 31% 90k $2.7M (exactly $2,706,298) Firefly Studios
Endzone 2 $29.99 894 65% 27k $804k (exactly $804,332) Gentlymad Studios
Mini Settlers $12.99 592 85% 18k $231k (exactly $230,702) Knight Owl Games
Final Outpost: Definitive Edition $9.99 208 76% 6.2k $62k (exactly $62,338) Exabyte Games
Moduwar · EA $14.99 134 88% 4.0k $60k (exactly $60,260) Biohex Studios
The Legend of Mala Tokmachka $4.99 246 71% 7.4k $37k (exactly $36,826) The Current Thing
Genesis of a Small God $17.99 61 80% 1.8k $33k (exactly $32,922) Pierre Nury
uFactory $9.99 62 69% 1.9k $19k (exactly $18,581) Lucid Silence Games
Maximilian Spee · EA $39.99 3 33% 90 $3.6k (exactly $3,599) EUGENE LOPATIN
Space Sim Tycoon $15.99 5 60% 150 $2.4k (exactly $2,398) SuperChicken Productions LLC
Reverse Survivors $3.99 4 75% 120 $479 (exactly $479) Holiver Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.