Do I ship it?

GamesRTSRTS + Quick-Time Events

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Quick-Time Events RTS?

RTS + Quick-Time Events

Only 15 developers shipped a Quick-Time Events RTS in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, 转生魔塔, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 9 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $150 in the last 2 years and $210 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build. 9 developers shipped in the last year and 9 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 9 announced, ×1.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
RTS + Quick-Time Events
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for RTS + Quick-Time Events: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $150 (exactly $150)
Top 25% $1.2k (exactly $1,166)
Top 5% $9.4k (exactly $9,352)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 26
Announced 9
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

RTS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Quick-Time Events
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
RTS, Quick-Time Events; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Adventure, RPG
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 75% positive over 93 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $150, 1 in 4 over $1.1k, 1 in 20 over $9.3k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 9 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

RTS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomeFair12 devs · median $64k · 13 announced
  2. + Outbreak SimFair16 devs · median $2.6k · 14 announced
  3. + HorrorFair20 devs · median $2.4k · 27 announced
  4. + NavalFair15 devs · median $2.4k · 21 announced
  5. + TabletopFair25 devs · median $1.9k · 33 announced
  6. + SportsLong shot19 devs · median $861 · 9 announced
  7. + PuzzleLong shot48 devs · median $479 · 40 announced
  8. + World War IIPoor odds23 devs · median $105k · 38 announced
  9. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds28 devs · median $64k · 41 announced
  10. + Open WorldPoor odds45 devs · median $35k · 100 announced
  11. + Colony SimPoor odds87 devs · median $31k · 159 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds108 devs · median $30k · 180 announced

All 149 pairs on the RTS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Randoville · EA older $14.99 63 63% 1.9k $28k (exactly $28,331) AVE Team
转生魔塔 $11.99 26 88% 780 $9.4k (exactly $9,352) Zeros
Fadedlands: The Reckless Squad $5.99 34 97% 1.0k $6.1k (exactly $6,110) ForindGames
Fomo-trading $4.99 12 25% 360 $1.8k (exactly $1,796) 明夜
Dr Voss’ Escape Room $2.99 13 53% 390 $1.2k (exactly $1,166) Vexos Games
Para Bellum · EA older $7.99 3 100% 90 $719 (exactly $719) NullCloneGames
Flatlands $9.99 2 50% 60 $599 (exactly $599) LayDown Games
War Laboratory older $11.99 1 0% 30 $360 (exactly $360) ZhiHuiShang Studio
Square Fishing Builder $4.99 2 50% 60 $299 (exactly $299) codegamerstudio
YYDS成神之路 older $1.99 5 100% 150 $298 (exactly $298) 不语游戏工作室
Battow - Mages And Monsters $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) SensualHarvest
Chess Commanders · EA $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Skorpion Studios LLC
RIXE $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) OURAGAN
保卫粮食 Grain Defense $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) 放马过去

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.