Do I ship it?

GamesPvEPvE + Western

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Western PvE game?

PvE + Western

Of 34 developers who shipped a Western PvE game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 64 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $68k, ×109 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 64 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 64 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
PvE + Western
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 34
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $839 → $5.0k → $898 → $449 → $179 (still earning) → $2.4k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for PvE + Western: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 34
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $598 (exactly $598)
Top 25% $5.0k (exactly $5,033)
Top 5% $69k (exactly $68,609)
Developers, 2 yr 34
Released games 66
Announced 64
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

PvE
effort 6 / 10 · low · online co-op against AI still needs the whole netcode stack
Western
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
PvE; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Online Co-Op, Co-op
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Stylized, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 31,912 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $600, 1 in 4 over $5.0k, 1 in 20 over $68k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. All of the 20 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 64 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

PvE with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair17 devs · median $2.4k · 23 announced
  2. + IdlerFair161 devs · median $1.0k · 229 announced
  3. + MinigamesFair9 devs · median $899 · 14 announced
  4. + TypingFair23 devs · median $719 · 27 announced
  5. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds44 devs · median $163k · 97 announced
  6. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds50 devs · median $85k · 120 announced
  7. + HeistPoor odds18 devs · median $30k · 50 announced
  8. + MMORPGPoor odds34 devs · median $25k · 248 announced
  9. + Real-TimePoor odds10 devs · median $20k · 24 announced
  10. + NavalPoor odds21 devs · median $11k · 59 announced
  11. + SpaceshipsPoor odds16 devs · median $6.3k · 20 announced
  12. + MarsPoor odds10 devs · median $6.3k · 13 announced

All 243 pairs on the PvE page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Far Far West · EA $19.99 31,458 95% 944k $19M (exactly $18,865,363) Evil Raptor
Exoplanet: First Contact · EA older $19.99 230 73% 6.9k $138k (exactly $137,931) Alersteam
PolyClassic: Wild older $13.99 213 76% 6.4k $89k (exactly $89,396) Quacky Games
Western Rye · EA $21.99 104 53% 3.1k $69k (exactly $68,609) Nixalon Studios
Cowboy 3030 $14.99 96 87% 2.9k $43k (exactly $43,171) Soy Boy Games
Wild West : The Last Cowboy $8.99 69 100% 2.1k $19k (exactly $18,609) DMONG Co., Ltd.
DOOMED Detective Game $6.99 65 46% 2.0k $14k (exactly $13,630) Azikton Studio
DuelVox: Max Quality older $19.99 18 72% 540 $11k (exactly $10,795) Piece Of Voxel
DeadboySkeleton $4.99 52 96% 1.6k $7.8k (exactly $7,784) GreyCigarGames
Lawless West older $6.99 36 75% 1.1k $7.5k (exactly $7,549) First Games Interactive
Arcane Wilds · EA $17.99 13 76% 390 $7.0k (exactly $7,016) Avancadia
Rhyolite $9.99 21 100% 630 $6.3k (exactly $6,294) Long Lost
Duelite $6.99 24 83% 720 $5.0k (exactly $5,033) Betaking Studios
Fishing on the Fly $9.99 10 50% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) Numicus Studios, MacClark.com

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.