Should I ship a Western PvE game?
PvE + Western
Of 34 developers who shipped a Western PvE game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 64 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $68k, ×109 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 64 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $179 (exactly $179) |
|---|---|
| Median | $598 (exactly $598) |
| Top 25% | $5.0k (exactly $5,033) |
| Top 5% | $69k (exactly $68,609) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 34 |
| Released games | 66 |
| Announced | 64 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- PvE; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Online Co-Op, Co-op
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Stylized, Atmospheric
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 95% positive over 31,912 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $180. All of the 20 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 64 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
PvE with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Dating SimFair
- + IdlerFair
- + MinigamesFair
- + TypingFair
- + Extraction ShooterPoor odds
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + HeistPoor odds
- + MMORPGPoor odds
- + Real-TimePoor odds
- + NavalPoor odds
- + SpaceshipsPoor odds
- + MarsPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Far Far West | · EA | $19.99 | 31,458 95% | 944k | $19M (exactly $18,865,363) | Evil Raptor |
| | Exoplanet: First Contact | · EA older | $19.99 | 230 73% | 6.9k | $138k (exactly $137,931) | Alersteam |
| | PolyClassic: Wild | older | $13.99 | 213 76% | 6.4k | $89k (exactly $89,396) | Quacky Games |
| | Western Rye | · EA | $21.99 | 104 53% | 3.1k | $69k (exactly $68,609) | Nixalon Studios |
| | Cowboy 3030 | $14.99 | 96 87% | 2.9k | $43k (exactly $43,171) | Soy Boy Games | |
| | Wild West : The Last Cowboy | $8.99 | 69 100% | 2.1k | $19k (exactly $18,609) | DMONG Co., Ltd. | |
| | DOOMED Detective Game | $6.99 | 65 46% | 2.0k | $14k (exactly $13,630) | Azikton Studio | |
| | DuelVox: Max Quality | older | $19.99 | 18 72% | 540 | $11k (exactly $10,795) | Piece Of Voxel |
| | DeadboySkeleton | $4.99 | 52 96% | 1.6k | $7.8k (exactly $7,784) | GreyCigarGames | |
| | Lawless West | older | $6.99 | 36 75% | 1.1k | $7.5k (exactly $7,549) | First Games Interactive |
| | Arcane Wilds | · EA | $17.99 | 13 76% | 390 | $7.0k (exactly $7,016) | Avancadia |
| | Rhyolite | $9.99 | 21 100% | 630 | $6.3k (exactly $6,294) | Long Lost | |
| | Duelite | $6.99 | 24 83% | 720 | $5.0k (exactly $5,033) | Betaking Studios | |
| | Fishing on the Fly | $9.99 | 10 50% | 300 | $3.0k (exactly $2,997) | Numicus Studios, MacClark.com |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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