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Should I ship a PvE Transportation game?
PvE + Transportation
Only 12 developers shipped a PvE Transportation game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, SAND: Raiders of Sophie, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×2.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $9.3M, ×14904 the market median. Revenue is up 1310% on the market; 22 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $240 (exactly $240) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.8k (exactly $1,799) |
| Top 25% | $3.1k (exactly $3,116) |
| Top 5% | $9.4M (exactly $9,360,004) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 12 |
| Released games | 31 |
| Announced | 22 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1310% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- PvE
- effort 6 / 10 · low · online co-op against AI still needs the whole netcode stack
- Transportation
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- PvE, Transportation
- Price point
- $7.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 49% positive over 12,547 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $240. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 22 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
PvE with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Dating SimFair
- + IdlerFair
- + MinigamesFair
- + TypingFair
- + Extraction ShooterPoor odds
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + HeistPoor odds
- + MMORPGPoor odds
- + Real-TimePoor odds
- + NavalPoor odds
- + SpaceshipsPoor odds
- + MarsPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | SAND: Raiders of Sophie | · EA | $24.99 | 12,485 49% | 375k | $9.4M (exactly $9,360,004) | Hologryph, TowerHaus |
| | Steel Republic Rail Defender | older | $11.99 | 38 55% | 1.1k | $14k (exactly $13,669) | spyVspy |
| | Run Pizza Run | older | $4.99 | 83 86% | 2.5k | $12k (exactly $12,425) | IZI Games |
| | FIREGROUND Modern War | older | $4.99 | 69 68% | 2.1k | $10k (exactly $10,329) | Xyak-Xyak |
| | WITHOUT A HITCH | $7.99 | 21 90% | 630 | $5.0k (exactly $5,034) | Codename Entertainment Inc. | |
| | TOP TRUCK DRIVER | older | $9.99 | 14 64% | 420 | $4.2k (exactly $4,196) | Stas Paty9mkin |
| | Race! Beauty! Bugs! | older | $24.99 | 5 0% | 150 | $3.7k (exactly $3,748) | Piece Of Voxel |
| | CuberPunk 2090 | older | $12.99 | 8 87% | 240 | $3.1k (exactly $3,118) | Brouillard |
| | Galatico | · EA | $7.99 | 13 100% | 390 | $3.1k (exactly $3,116) | Galatico Studios |
| | Midnight Legends | older | $1.99 | 34 76% | 1.0k | $2.0k (exactly $2,030) | Mihanikus Games |
| | Human Parking Simulator | $8.99 | 7 85% | 210 | $1.9k (exactly $1,888) | NewAtlantisGameStudio | |
| | Industrial Empire | · EA | $6.99 | 9 33% | 270 | $1.9k (exactly $1,887) | Mustafa Alimoğlu, Destiny Game Studios |
| | The Chaser's Voyage | $19.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $1.8k (exactly $1,799) | Bright at Midnight: A Game Studio | |
| | Frost Loop | $6.99 | 4 75% | 120 | $839 (exactly $839) | Digx7 Studios | |
| | Dwarven Rails | $9.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $599 (exactly $599) | Kogekisaru | |
| | Time of War - Airstrike | · EA | $7.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $240 (exactly $240) | Complex Games Studio |
| | TRUEM | $1.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $119 (exactly $119) | HOLGEAR GAMES |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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