Do I ship it?

GamesPvEPvE + Transportation

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a PvE Transportation game?

PvE + Transportation

Only 12 developers shipped a PvE Transportation game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, SAND: Raiders of Sophie, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×2.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $9.3M, ×14904 the market median. Revenue is up 1310% on the market; 22 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 1310% on the market, 22 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
PvE + Transportation
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $12k → $240 → $1.8k → $5.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for PvE + Transportation: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $240 (exactly $240)
Median $1.8k (exactly $1,799)
Top 25% $3.1k (exactly $3,116)
Top 5% $9.4M (exactly $9,360,004)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 31
Announced 22
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1310% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

PvE
effort 6 / 10 · low · online co-op against AI still needs the whole netcode stack
Transportation
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
PvE, Transportation
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 49% positive over 12,547 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $1.8k, 1 in 4 over $3.1k, 1 in 20 over $9.3M.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 22 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

PvE with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair17 devs · median $2.4k · 23 announced
  2. + IdlerFair161 devs · median $1.0k · 229 announced
  3. + MinigamesFair9 devs · median $899 · 14 announced
  4. + TypingFair23 devs · median $719 · 27 announced
  5. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds44 devs · median $163k · 97 announced
  6. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds50 devs · median $85k · 120 announced
  7. + HeistPoor odds18 devs · median $30k · 50 announced
  8. + MMORPGPoor odds34 devs · median $25k · 248 announced
  9. + Real-TimePoor odds10 devs · median $20k · 24 announced
  10. + NavalPoor odds21 devs · median $11k · 59 announced
  11. + SpaceshipsPoor odds16 devs · median $6.3k · 20 announced
  12. + MarsPoor odds10 devs · median $6.3k · 13 announced

All 243 pairs on the PvE page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
SAND: Raiders of Sophie · EA $24.99 12,485 49% 375k $9.4M (exactly $9,360,004) Hologryph, TowerHaus
Steel Republic Rail Defender older $11.99 38 55% 1.1k $14k (exactly $13,669) spyVspy
Run Pizza Run older $4.99 83 86% 2.5k $12k (exactly $12,425) IZI Games
FIREGROUND Modern War older $4.99 69 68% 2.1k $10k (exactly $10,329) Xyak-Xyak
WITHOUT A HITCH $7.99 21 90% 630 $5.0k (exactly $5,034) Codename Entertainment Inc.
TOP TRUCK DRIVER older $9.99 14 64% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Stas Paty9mkin
Race! Beauty! Bugs! older $24.99 5 0% 150 $3.7k (exactly $3,748) Piece Of Voxel
CuberPunk 2090 older $12.99 8 87% 240 $3.1k (exactly $3,118) Brouillard
Galatico · EA $7.99 13 100% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) Galatico Studios
Midnight Legends older $1.99 34 76% 1.0k $2.0k (exactly $2,030) Mihanikus Games
Human Parking Simulator $8.99 7 85% 210 $1.9k (exactly $1,888) NewAtlantisGameStudio
Industrial Empire · EA $6.99 9 33% 270 $1.9k (exactly $1,887) Mustafa Alimoğlu, Destiny Game Studios
The Chaser's Voyage $19.99 3 100% 90 $1.8k (exactly $1,799) Bright at Midnight: A Game Studio
Frost Loop $6.99 4 75% 120 $839 (exactly $839) Digx7 Studios
Dwarven Rails $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Kogekisaru
Time of War - Airstrike · EA $7.99 1 100% 30 $240 (exactly $240) Complex Games Studio
TRUEM $1.99 2 100% 60 $119 (exactly $119) HOLGEAR GAMES

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.