Do I ship it?

GamesPvEPvE + Time Management

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a PvE Time Management game?

PvE + Time Management

Of 99 developers who shipped a PvE Time Management game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 212 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $120k, ×195 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 212 games are announced against 55 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 212 announced, ×3.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
PvE + Time Management
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 99
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.9k → $1.6k → $8.1k → $3.4k → $1.3k → $899 → $599 (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for PvE + Time Management: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 99
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $898 (exactly $898)
Top 25% $5.0k (exactly $5,034)
Top 5% $122k (exactly $122,247)
Developers, 2 yr 99
Released games 236
Announced 212
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

PvE
effort 6 / 10 · low · online co-op against AI still needs the whole netcode stack
Time Management
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
PvE, Time Management; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Simulation, Online Co-Op
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 7,256 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $900, 1 in 4 over $5.0k, 1 in 20 over $120k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. 8 in 10 of the 63 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 212 games are announced against 55 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

PvE with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair17 devs · median $2.4k · 23 announced
  2. + IdlerFair161 devs · median $1.0k · 229 announced
  3. + MinigamesFair9 devs · median $899 · 14 announced
  4. + TypingFair23 devs · median $719 · 27 announced
  5. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds44 devs · median $163k · 97 announced
  6. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds50 devs · median $85k · 120 announced
  7. + HeistPoor odds18 devs · median $30k · 50 announced
  8. + MMORPGPoor odds34 devs · median $25k · 248 announced
  9. + Real-TimePoor odds10 devs · median $20k · 24 announced
  10. + NavalPoor odds21 devs · median $11k · 59 announced
  11. + SpaceshipsPoor odds16 devs · median $6.3k · 20 announced
  12. + MarsPoor odds10 devs · median $6.3k · 13 announced

All 243 pairs on the PvE page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Lethal Company · EA older $9.99 411,550 97% 12M $123M (exactly $123,341,535) Zeekerss
F1® Manager 2024 older $34.99 5,554 83% 167k $5.8M (exactly $5,830,034) Frontier Developments
Turmoil older $12.99 13,154 92% 395k $5.1M (exactly $5,126,114) Gamious
Pacify older $4.99 32,921 86% 988k $4.9M (exactly $4,928,274) Shawn Hitchcock
Murky Divers $8.99 3,981 87% 119k $1.1M (exactly $1,073,676) Embers
WE ARE FOOTBALL 2024 older $39.99 751 79% 23k $901k (exactly $900,975) Winning Streak Games GmbH
Astronomics · EA $19.99 706 89% 21k $423k (exactly $423,388) Numizmatic
GT Manager $24.99 236 71% 7.1k $177k (exactly $176,929) THE TINY DIGITAL FACTORY, IMV STUDIO
Yolk Heroes: A Long Tamago older $7.99 725 89% 22k $174k (exactly $173,782) 14 Hours Productions
Backrooms Cleanup Crew · EA $9.99 453 91% 14k $136k (exactly $135,764) On The Bridge Games
Net.Attack() - Code or Die! $7.99 510 80% 15k $122k (exactly $122,247) ByteRockers' Games
Rocky Idle $9.99 308 83% 9.2k $92k (exactly $92,308) Rocky Games Studio
All Aboard! The Train Defense Express $4.99 379 84% 11k $57k (exactly $56,736) Likadev
Private Military Manager: Tactical Auto Battler · EA $5.99 291 69% 8.7k $52k (exactly $52,293) 5minlab Corp.
Hired 2 Die $9.99 169 82% 5.1k $51k (exactly $50,649) Electric Monkeys
SkyInFlames · EA $6.99 223 95% 6.7k $47k (exactly $46,763) VasyliyBritva

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.