Do I ship it?

GamesPvEPvE + Spelling

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a PvE Spelling game?

PvE + Spelling

Only 13 developers shipped a PvE Spelling game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, MORSE, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 18 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $660, level with the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $52k, ×83 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 18 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 18 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
PvE + Spelling
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.9k → $2.2k → $150 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for PvE + Spelling: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $657 (exactly $657)
Top 25% $1.6k (exactly $1,648)
Top 5% $52k (exactly $52,043)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 32
Announced 18
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 235% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

PvE
effort 6 / 10 · low · online co-op against AI still needs the whole netcode stack
Spelling
effort 1 / 10 · high · effort 1 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
PvE, Spelling; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Roguelite, Typing
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $13.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $13.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 9 games average 93% positive over 191 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $660, 1 in 4 over $1.6k, 1 in 20 over $52k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 18 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

PvE with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair17 devs · median $2.4k · 23 announced
  2. + IdlerFair161 devs · median $1.0k · 229 announced
  3. + MinigamesFair9 devs · median $899 · 14 announced
  4. + TypingFair23 devs · median $719 · 27 announced
  5. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds44 devs · median $163k · 97 announced
  6. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds50 devs · median $85k · 120 announced
  7. + HeistPoor odds18 devs · median $30k · 50 announced
  8. + MMORPGPoor odds34 devs · median $25k · 248 announced
  9. + Real-TimePoor odds10 devs · median $20k · 24 announced
  10. + NavalPoor odds21 devs · median $11k · 59 announced
  11. + SpaceshipsPoor odds16 devs · median $6.3k · 20 announced
  12. + MarsPoor odds10 devs · median $6.3k · 13 announced

All 243 pairs on the PvE page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Draw & Guess older $4.99 31,627 83% 949k $4.7M (exactly $4,734,562) Acureus
Writer's Rush older $5.99 402 74% 12k $72k (exactly $72,239) Frogstorm
MORSE $13.99 124 93% 3.7k $52k (exactly $52,043) ALJO Games
Siege Wars older $1.99 98 65% 2.9k $5.9k (exactly $5,851) RunServer
Dungeons & Keyboards older $4.99 34 88% 1.0k $5.1k (exactly $5,090) Corgibox
Typing Hero older $14.99 11 100% 330 $4.9k (exactly $4,947) Risen Realms
Tybot Invasion: The Typing Runner older $4.99 27 100% 810 $4.0k (exactly $4,042) Sensen Games
Paperback Vol. 2 older $6.99 15 66% 450 $3.1k (exactly $3,146) Fowers Games
SpellBounders 2 · EA older $9.99 9 55% 270 $2.7k (exactly $2,697) Backstage Castle
Spell Wizard $2.99 25 84% 750 $2.2k (exactly $2,242) Wushed
POLYGLOCK $4.85 15 100% 450 $2.2k (exactly $2,182) Struth Gaming
SPELLCAST $10.99 5 100% 150 $1.6k (exactly $1,648) BEDiBUG Concepts
Lost Pages: Classic · EA $8.99 5 100% 150 $1.3k (exactly $1,348) Jiffycrew
Typing English $7.99 3 100% 90 $719 (exactly $719) Novare Orbis
Yomifuda: Kanji Survivors $1.99 11 90% 330 $657 (exactly $657) Bandalore Software
Pitchforks & Paragraphs $3.99 2 100% 60 $239 (exactly $239) Rogue Pigeon Games
That is not the ball! $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Dosimada
Vocabulary Mastermind $14.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) VAZOTIR INTERACTIVE ENTERTAINMENT

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.