Should I ship a Romance PvE game?
PvE + Romance
Of 27 developers who shipped a Romance PvE game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 55 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $4.5k, ×7.2 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.4k; 1 in 20 cleared $260k, ×414 the market median. Revenue is up 85% on the market; 55 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $1.3k (exactly $1,317) |
|---|---|
| Median | $4.5k (exactly $4,496) |
| Top 25% | $16k (exactly $16,184) |
| Top 5% | $260k (exactly $260,146) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 27 |
| Released games | 82 |
| Announced | 55 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 85% on the market, supply 185% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- PvE; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action, RPG
- Price point
- $6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful, Pixel Graphics
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 85% positive over 1,801 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.4k. 6 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 55 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
PvE with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Dating SimFair
- + IdlerFair
- + MinigamesFair
- + TypingFair
- + Extraction ShooterPoor odds
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + HeistPoor odds
- + MMORPGPoor odds
- + Real-TimePoor odds
- + NavalPoor odds
- + SpaceshipsPoor odds
- + MarsPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Wars and Roses | older | $19.99 | 2,435 42% | 73k | $1.5M (exactly $1,460,270) | Blaze Worlds |
| | Wedding Witch | older | $4.99 | 4,451 89% | 134k | $666k (exactly $666,315) | Chowbie |
| | BoneTown: The Second Coming Edition | older | $19.99 | 770 84% | 23k | $462k (exactly $461,769) | D-Dub Software |
| | Night Shift Nurses | $19.99 | 593 84% | 18k | $356k (exactly $355,622) | Shiravune | |
| | AURA: Hentai Cards | older | $9.99 | 1,045 80% | 31k | $313k (exactly $313,186) | TopHouse Studio, AniCore Team |
| | Tamer: King of Dinosaurs | · EA | $24.99 | 347 86% | 10k | $260k (exactly $260,146) | Ride the Lion Studios |
| | Ascend From Nine Mountains | · EA | $19.99 | 324 92% | 9.7k | $194k (exactly $194,303) | Nine Ascension Studios |
| | BoneCraft | older | $14.99 | 252 80% | 7.6k | $113k (exactly $113,324) | D-Dub Software |
| | GIRLDIVERS | $14.99 | 181 80% | 5.4k | $81k (exactly $81,396) | Sweet Cakes Games | |
| | Solitaire Beach Season | older | $14.99 | 88 76% | 2.6k | $40k (exactly $39,574) | Creobit |
| | Femboy Survival | · EA | $6.99 | 133 92% | 4.0k | $28k (exactly $27,890) | 2DNiem |
| | Puppet Team | $4.99 | 112 64% | 3.4k | $17k (exactly $16,766) | Editmode | |
| | Stuff It! | $9.99 | 54 87% | 1.6k | $16k (exactly $16,184) | BONNISOFT | |
| | Netoria Tactics 2 | · EA | $14.99 | 21 95% | 630 | $9.4k (exactly $9,444) | Apollo Seven Games |
| | Heatwave | $10.00 | 21 95% | 630 | $6.3k (exactly $6,300) | Monochromesoft | |
| | Moushooter | $12.99 | 15 80% | 450 | $5.8k (exactly $5,846) | Twins Halo |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.