Do I ship it?

GamesPvEPvE + Romance

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Romance PvE game?

PvE + Romance

Of 27 developers who shipped a Romance PvE game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 55 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.5k, ×7.2 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.4k; 1 in 20 cleared $260k, ×414 the market median. Revenue is up 85% on the market; 55 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 7.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 85% on the market, 55 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
PvE + Romance
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 27
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.5k → $6.8k → $718 → $81k → $2.9k → $6.3k → $3.0k (still earning) → $2.5k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for PvE + Romance: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 27
Bottom 30% $1.3k (exactly $1,317)
Median $4.5k (exactly $4,496)
Top 25% $16k (exactly $16,184)
Top 5% $260k (exactly $260,146)
Developers, 2 yr 27
Released games 82
Announced 55
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 85% on the market, supply 185% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

PvE
effort 6 / 10 · low · online co-op against AI still needs the whole netcode stack
Romance
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
PvE; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action, RPG
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 1,801 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.4k, median $4.5k, 1 in 4 over $16k, 1 in 20 over $260k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.4k. 6 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 55 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

PvE with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair17 devs · median $2.4k · 23 announced
  2. + IdlerFair161 devs · median $1.0k · 229 announced
  3. + MinigamesFair9 devs · median $899 · 14 announced
  4. + TypingFair23 devs · median $719 · 27 announced
  5. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds44 devs · median $163k · 97 announced
  6. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds50 devs · median $85k · 120 announced
  7. + HeistPoor odds18 devs · median $30k · 50 announced
  8. + MMORPGPoor odds34 devs · median $25k · 248 announced
  9. + Real-TimePoor odds10 devs · median $20k · 24 announced
  10. + NavalPoor odds21 devs · median $11k · 59 announced
  11. + SpaceshipsPoor odds16 devs · median $6.3k · 20 announced
  12. + MarsPoor odds10 devs · median $6.3k · 13 announced

All 243 pairs on the PvE page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Wars and Roses older $19.99 2,435 42% 73k $1.5M (exactly $1,460,270) Blaze Worlds
Wedding Witch older $4.99 4,451 89% 134k $666k (exactly $666,315) Chowbie
BoneTown: The Second Coming Edition older $19.99 770 84% 23k $462k (exactly $461,769) D-Dub Software
Night Shift Nurses $19.99 593 84% 18k $356k (exactly $355,622) Shiravune
AURA: Hentai Cards older $9.99 1,045 80% 31k $313k (exactly $313,186) TopHouse Studio, AniCore Team
Tamer: King of Dinosaurs · EA $24.99 347 86% 10k $260k (exactly $260,146) Ride the Lion Studios
Ascend From Nine Mountains · EA $19.99 324 92% 9.7k $194k (exactly $194,303) Nine Ascension Studios
BoneCraft older $14.99 252 80% 7.6k $113k (exactly $113,324) D-Dub Software
GIRLDIVERS $14.99 181 80% 5.4k $81k (exactly $81,396) Sweet Cakes Games
Solitaire Beach Season older $14.99 88 76% 2.6k $40k (exactly $39,574) Creobit
Femboy Survival · EA $6.99 133 92% 4.0k $28k (exactly $27,890) 2DNiem
Puppet Team $4.99 112 64% 3.4k $17k (exactly $16,766) Editmode
Stuff It! $9.99 54 87% 1.6k $16k (exactly $16,184) BONNISOFT
Netoria Tactics 2 · EA $14.99 21 95% 630 $9.4k (exactly $9,444) Apollo Seven Games
Heatwave $10.00 21 95% 630 $6.3k (exactly $6,300) Monochromesoft
Moushooter $12.99 15 80% 450 $5.8k (exactly $5,846) Twins Halo

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.