Do I ship it?

GamesReal-TimeReal-Time + Puzzle

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Puzzle Real-Time game?

Real-Time + Puzzle

Only 7 developers shipped a Puzzle Real-Time game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Tower of Mask, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 5 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $5.4k against a market of $630. 5 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 8.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 5 announced, ×1.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Real-Time + Puzzle
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Real-Time + Puzzle: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $2.7k (exactly $2,698)
Median $5.4k (exactly $5,396)
Top 25% $37k (exactly $36,674)
Top 5% $118k (exactly $117,703)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 48
Announced 5
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $10.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Real-Time
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Puzzle
effort 2 / 10 · high · discrete rules, levels are data

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Real-Time, Puzzle
Price point
$10.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 10,521 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.7k, median $5.4k, 1 in 4 over $36k, 1 in 20 over $110k.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.7k. 5 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Real-Time with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Character CustomizationStrong odds7 devs · median $2.0k · 6 announced
  2. + RogueliteFair11 devs · median $11k · 14 announced
  3. + BuildingPoor odds14 devs · median $62k · 20 announced
  4. + HistoricalPoor odds10 devs · median $52k · 15 announced
  5. + WarPoor odds14 devs · median $37k · 20 announced
  6. + Base BuildingPoor odds21 devs · median $37k · 33 announced
  7. + WargamePoor odds13 devs · median $37k · 17 announced
  8. + PhysicsPoor odds7 devs · median $33k · 13 announced
  9. + Tower DefensePoor odds9 devs · median $32k · 17 announced
  10. + Action RTSPoor odds12 devs · median $31k · 18 announced
  11. + StrategyPoor odds39 devs · median $28k · 75 announced
  12. + RTSPoor odds21 devs · median $22k · 40 announced

All 40 pairs on the Real-Time page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Legend of Grimrock older $14.99 4,844 93% 145k $2.2M (exactly $2,178,347) Almost Human Games
Shadows: Awakening older $29.99 1,535 75% 46k $1.4M (exactly $1,381,040) Games Farm
RAILGRADE older $29.99 1,205 84% 36k $1.1M (exactly $1,084,138) Minakata Dynamics
Vaporum older $19.99 998 84% 30k $599k (exactly $598,501) Fatbot Games, s. r. o.
Vaporum: Lockdown older $17.99 292 83% 8.8k $158k (exactly $157,592) Fatbot Games, s. r. o.
Tower of Mask $10.99 357 95% 11k $118k (exactly $117,703) Papertip Studio
Dungeon Of Dragon Knight older $11.99 315 74% 9.5k $113k (exactly $113,306) HexGameStudio
Mini Golf Arena · EA older $8.99 385 51% 12k $104k (exactly $103,834) Evoluta Studio
Radical Relocation older $9.99 258 74% 7.7k $77k (exactly $77,323) Winglett Entertainment
The Last Express Gold Edition older $6.99 332 79% 10k $70k (exactly $69,620) Dotemu
60 Minutes to Extinction: Escape Room $7.99 153 82% 4.6k $37k (exactly $36,674) mc2games
uFactory $9.99 62 69% 1.9k $19k (exactly $18,581) Lucid Silence Games
NULLPTR $14.99 12 100% 360 $5.4k (exactly $5,396) Jeferson Silva
corpo/ghost $14.99 6 100% 180 $2.7k (exactly $2,698) Interleaved Systems
Marble Quest · EA $4.99 12 100% 360 $1.8k (exactly $1,796) Wolf Developer, ReelablePenny14
BaseStar $12.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) DeKat

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.