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Should I ship a Psychological PvE game?
PvE + Psychological
Of 64 developers who shipped a Psychological PvE game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 100 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $49k, ×79 the market median. Revenue is down 55% on the market; 100 games are announced against 38 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $179 (exactly $179) |
|---|---|
| Median | $600 (exactly $600) |
| Top 25% | $1.5k (exactly $1,497) |
| Top 5% | $50k (exactly $49,873) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 64 |
| Released games | 112 |
| Announced | 100 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- PvE
- effort 6 / 10 · low · online co-op against AI still needs the whole netcode stack
- Psychological
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- PvE; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Survival, Exploration
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Dark
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 56% positive over 7,555 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $180. 8 in 10 of the 29 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 100 games are announced against 38 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
PvE with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Dating SimFair
- + IdlerFair
- + MinigamesFair
- + TypingFair
- + Extraction ShooterPoor odds
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + HeistPoor odds
- + MMORPGPoor odds
- + Real-TimePoor odds
- + NavalPoor odds
- + SpaceshipsPoor odds
- + MarsPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Call of Duty®: Black Ops 7 | $69.99 | 4,344 37% | 130k | $9.1M (exactly $9,121,097) | Treyarch, Raven Software, Beenox, High… (Treyarch, Raven Software, Beenox, High Moon Studios, Sledgehammer Games, Infinity Ward, Activision Shanghai, Demonware) | |
| | The Thing: Remastered | $29.99 | 1,203 89% | 36k | $1.1M (exactly $1,082,339) | Nightdive Studios, Computer Artworks | |
| | Fear Therapy | · EA older | $4.99 | 3,630 68% | 109k | $543k (exactly $543,411) | Black Flag Studios |
| | Anomaly Exit | older | $5.99 | 1,118 89% | 34k | $201k (exactly $200,905) | ExamlGuy |
| | SIDE EFFECTS | $4.99 | 858 83% | 26k | $128k (exactly $128,443) | hirohun, Mr.Pootsley, Jaybooty, Lofar42 | |
| | Splatter | older | $14.99 | 149 95% | 4.5k | $67k (exactly $67,005) | Rat King Collective, Catbird Soft |
| | Make Good Choices | $2.99 | 556 88% | 17k | $50k (exactly $49,873) | TN Games | |
| | Among The Whispers - Provocation | $14.99 | 101 79% | 3.0k | $45k (exactly $45,420) | D&A Studios | |
| | Together After Dark | $2.99 | 405 53% | 12k | $36k (exactly $36,328) | RedForge | |
| | You Must | older | $1.99 | 492 75% | 15k | $29k (exactly $29,372) | Thin Line |
| | Escape From Infection Zone | $39.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $7.2k (exactly $7,198) | Funbang | |
| | Hannah | $19.99 | 8 87% | 240 | $4.8k (exactly $4,798) | Spaceboy | |
| | Lastbane | · EA | $3.99 | 39 25% | 1.2k | $4.7k (exactly $4,668) | Lionstone Studio |
| | Heat or Die | $2.99 | 35 80% | 1.1k | $3.1k (exactly $3,140) | Mounpeak Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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