Do I ship it?

GamesProgrammingProgramming + Time Management

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Programming Time Management game?

Programming + Time Management

Only 15 developers shipped a Programming Time Management game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Data Center, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 26 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $7.0k, ×15 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $1.8k. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 26 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 14.8 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 26 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Programming + Time Management
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Programming + Time Management: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $1.8k (exactly $1,798)
Median $7.0k (exactly $7,008)
Top 25% $31k (exactly $31,487)
Top 5% $247k (exactly $247,045)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 31
Announced 26
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.30

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 550% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Programming
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Time Management
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Programming, Time Management; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Economy, Sandbox
Price point
$8.30 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Difficult, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $8.30.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 2,028 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.8k, median $7.0k, 1 in 4 over $31k, 1 in 20 over $240k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.8k. 26 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Programming with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Base BuildingFair13 devs · median $53k · 21 announced
  2. + Auto BattlerFair14 devs · median $14k · 14 announced
  3. + RogueliteFair24 devs · median $9.3k · 28 announced
  4. + SandboxFair60 devs · median $7.0k · 71 announced
  5. + AutomationFair84 devs · median $3.8k · 102 announced
  6. + Turn-Based TacticsFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 16 announced
  7. + SimulationFair132 devs · median $2.2k · 174 announced
  8. + RobotsFair24 devs · median $1.8k · 29 announced
  9. + CrimeFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 13 announced
  10. + Sci-fiFair56 devs · median $1.7k · 63 announced
  11. + FuturisticFair19 devs · median $1.2k · 25 announced
  12. + IdlerFair25 devs · median $1.1k · 29 announced

All 57 pairs on the Programming page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Software Inc. · EA older $22.99 7,576 94% 227k $5.2M (exactly $5,225,167) Coredumping
Uplink older $11.99 1,771 89% 53k $637k (exactly $637,029) Introversion Software
Data Center $8.99 916 76% 27k $247k (exactly $247,045) Waseku
Stuck In Time older $7.99 1,018 84% 31k $244k (exactly $244,015) Housemade Inc.
Craftlings $19.99 311 86% 9.3k $187k (exactly $186,507) ARIANO Games GmbH
Net.Attack() - Code or Die! $7.99 510 80% 15k $122k (exactly $122,247) ByteRockers' Games
Startup Panic older $14.99 211 55% 6.3k $95k (exactly $94,887) Algorocks
[Chilla's Art] The Caregiver | 終焉介護 older $4.99 431 80% 13k $65k (exactly $64,521) Chilla's Art
Web Host Simulator · EA $24.99 42 26% 1.3k $31k (exactly $31,487) Chibum
The Legend of Pomodoro $6.99 94 82% 2.8k $20k (exactly $19,712) Tony Wang
SysAdmin Odyssey - Back to the office · EA $8.30 40 75% 1.2k $10k (exactly $9,960) Molodoy-GameDev
Yet Another Incremental Game (but this time about coding) · EA $7.99 39 71% 1.2k $9.3k (exactly $9,348) Raclette Games
Games Tycoon $5.99 39 53% 1.2k $7.0k (exactly $7,008) Insignis Games
F.A.R.M.S.: Chill Factory $7.99 22 72% 660 $5.3k (exactly $5,273) Plema Crafts
Code Tycoon $9.99 15 80% 450 $4.5k (exactly $4,496) Mennen Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.