Do I ship it?

Games › RPG › RPG + Party Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Party Game RPG?

RPG + Party Game

Of 33 developers who shipped a Party Game RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 84 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $540, ×0.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $60; 1 in 20 cleared $780k, ×1256 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 84 games are announced against 31 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 84 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
RPG + Party Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 33
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $97k → $0 (still earning) → $629 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for RPG + Party Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 33
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $539 (exactly $539)
Top 25% $14k (exactly $13,922)
Top 5% $789k (exactly $788,919)
Developers, 2 yr 33
Released games 60
Announced 84
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 1450% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 27%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

RPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Party Game
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
RPG, Party Game; 3 in 10 of the top 25% also carry PvP, Strategy, Action
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Funny, Colorful, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 8,362 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $540, 1 in 4 over $13k, 1 in 20 over $780k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. 84 games are announced against 31 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds169 devs · median $54k · 144 announced
  2. + IdlerFair357 devs · median $2.2k · 471 announced
  3. + Boss RushFair20 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  4. + SportsFair113 devs · median $1.5k · 124 announced
  5. + Combat RacingFair22 devs · median $629 · 28 announced
  6. + Split ScreenFair28 devs · median $450 · 31 announced
  7. + Precision PlatformerFair41 devs · median $449 · 43 announced
  8. + SamuraiPoor odds14 devs · median $261k · 14 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds76 devs · median $96k · 165 announced
  10. + 4XPoor odds26 devs · median $54k · 56 announced
  11. + MinigamesPoor odds19 devs · median $40k · 34 announced
  12. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds15 devs · median $28k · 19 announced

All 262 pairs on the RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Backyard Baseball 2026 · $1.5M Feign 2025 · $789k The Yawhg 2014 · $339k DOKAPON! Sword of Fury 2025 · $265k SUPER BOMBERMAN R 2 2023 · $223k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Backyard Baseball $39.99 1,210 80% 36k $1.5M (exactly $1,451,637) Mega Cat Studios
Feign $4.99 5,270 91% 158k $789k (exactly $788,919) Teneke Kafalar
The Yawhg older $9.99 1,131 84% 34k $339k (exactly $338,961) Damian Sommer, Emily Carroll
DOKAPON! Sword of Fury $24.99 354 85% 11k $265k (exactly $265,394) Sting
SUPER BOMBERMAN R 2 older $49.99 149 53% 4.5k $223k (exactly $223,455) KONAMI
Conan Chop Chop older $14.99 423 65% 13k $190k (exactly $190,223) Mighty Kingdom
Tenebris: Terra Incognita $19.99 313 79% 9.4k $188k (exactly $187,706) Phantasmica Studios
DunHero $8.99 530 89% 16k $143k (exactly $142,941) Dev Kacper
Abra-Cooking-Dabra $12.99 250 75% 7.5k $97k (exactly $97,425) Door 407
Prop Hunt older $9.99 222 19% 6.7k $67k (exactly $66,533) HorseGames
Jelly Bubble $9.99 170 99% 5.1k $51k (exactly $50,949) BINGOBELL
Vessel $6.99 116 17% 3.5k $24k (exactly $24,325) OJStudio
BUNKER: RED FLAG · EA $4.99 93 79% 2.8k $14k (exactly $13,922) Red Flag Team
Werewolf Party $7.99 56 89% 1.7k $13k (exactly $13,423) Absam Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.