Do I ship it?

GamesRTSRTS + Party-Based RPG

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Party-Based RPG RTS?

RTS + Party-Based RPG

Only 11 developers shipped a Party-Based RPG RTS in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Age of Reforging: The Freelands, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×6.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $7.2k against a market of $1.5k. 25 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 4.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 40% on the market, 25 announced, ×6.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
RTS + Party-Based RPG
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $959 → $25k → $16k
Outcomes for RTS + Party-Based RPG: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $4.0k (exactly $4,042)
Median $7.2k (exactly $7,194)
Top 25% $49k (exactly $48,899)
Top 5% $2.1M (exactly $2,061,213)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 39
Announced 25
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 45% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

RTS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Party-Based RPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
RTS, Party-Based RPG
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 74% positive over 2,824 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $4.1k, median $7.2k, 1 in 4 over $48k, 1 in 20 over $2.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $4.1k. 6 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

RTS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomeFair12 devs · median $64k · 13 announced
  2. + Outbreak SimFair16 devs · median $2.6k · 14 announced
  3. + HorrorFair20 devs · median $2.4k · 27 announced
  4. + NavalFair15 devs · median $2.4k · 21 announced
  5. + TabletopFair25 devs · median $1.9k · 33 announced
  6. + SportsLong shot19 devs · median $861 · 9 announced
  7. + PuzzleLong shot48 devs · median $479 · 40 announced
  8. + World War IIPoor odds23 devs · median $105k · 38 announced
  9. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds28 devs · median $64k · 41 announced
  10. + Open WorldPoor odds45 devs · median $35k · 100 announced
  11. + Colony SimPoor odds87 devs · median $31k · 159 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds108 devs · median $30k · 180 announced

All 149 pairs on the RTS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Kenshi older $29.99 98,451 95% 3.0M $89M (exactly $88,576,365) Lo-Fi Games
Age of Reforging: The Freelands $29.99 2,291 71% 69k $2.1M (exactly $2,061,213) PersonaeGame Studio
SpellForce 3 Soul Harvest older $19.99 1,992 84% 60k $1.2M (exactly $1,194,602) Grimlore Games
巴哈姆特1-REMAKE(BAHAMUT1-REMAKE) $9.99 170 95% 5.1k $51k (exactly $50,949) 王韋
Cossacks: Art of War older $4.99 330 83% 9.9k $49k (exactly $49,401) GSC Game World
BM Love Cafe $7.99 204 77% 6.1k $49k (exactly $48,899) zzzgame
Adventure Academia: The Fractured Continent older $39.99 34 26% 1.0k $41k (exactly $40,790) ACQUIRE Corp.
Blade Prince Academy older $19.99 58 65% 1.7k $35k (exactly $34,783) Angel Corp
Gray Zone older $19.99 52 61% 1.6k $31k (exactly $31,184) EastWorks
Zombie Party 丧尸派对 older $5.99 140 77% 4.2k $25k (exactly $25,158) Joychasing Games
Chaos Entropy $11.00 48 89% 1.4k $16k (exactly $15,840) MILLIDIA
Divinity Vassals $11.99 36 75% 1.1k $13k (exactly $12,949) Yi
Soul•Apocalypto $11.99 20 80% 600 $7.2k (exactly $7,194) 卜乙冈(Ploygon)
Balorizon $6.99 25 68% 750 $5.2k (exactly $5,242) Renka
Warlordocracy $4.99 27 96% 810 $4.0k (exactly $4,042) Brian J. Lancaster, Laughing Coyote Sof… (Brian J. Lancaster, Laughing Coyote Software)
Eloquent $0.99 2 100% 60 $59 (exactly $59) Dingdang
Tower of Void $0.99 1 0% 30 $30 (exactly $30) yhy

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.