Should I ship a Ninja PvE game?
PvE + Ninja
Of 34 developers who shipped a Ninja PvE game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 32 more are announced.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $840, ×1.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $38k, ×62 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 32 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $210 (exactly $210) |
|---|---|
| Median | $836 (exactly $836) |
| Top 25% | $2.9k (exactly $2,876) |
| Top 5% | $39k (exactly $38,737) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 34 |
| Released games | 91 |
| Announced | 32 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- PvE; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Hack and Slash, Arcade
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $16.99 or above
- Art
- 3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Stylized, Anime, 2.5D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $16.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 84% positive over 3,187 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $210. 9 in 10 of the 19 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 32 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
PvE with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Dating SimFair
- + IdlerFair
- + MinigamesFair
- + TypingFair
- + Extraction ShooterPoor odds
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + HeistPoor odds
- + MMORPGPoor odds
- + Real-TimePoor odds
- + NavalPoor odds
- + SpaceshipsPoor odds
- + MarsPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- The Hinokami Chronicles 2 | $59.99 | 2,879 83% | 86k | $5.2M (exactly $5,181,336) | CyberConnect2 | |
| | Aragami 2 | older | $34.99 | 3,472 76% | 104k | $3.6M (exactly $3,644,558) | Lince Works |
| | Mahokenshi - The Samurai Deckbuilder | older | $24.99 | 464 77% | 14k | $348k (exactly $347,861) | Game Source Studio |
| | Swords of Gurrah | · EA older | $14.99 | 622 78% | 19k | $280k (exactly $279,713) | Devster, LLC |
| | Project Demigod | older | $19.99 | 397 69% | 12k | $238k (exactly $238,081) | Omnifarious Studios LLC |
| | Shing! | older | $19.99 | 334 79% | 10k | $200k (exactly $200,300) | Mass Creation |
| | Okinawa Rush | older | $17.99 | 120 82% | 3.6k | $65k (exactly $64,764) | Sokaikan ltd |
| | Samurai Slaughter House | · EA older | $29.99 | 51 37% | 1.5k | $46k (exactly $45,885) | Tab Games |
| | Old Coin Pusher Friends | older | $3.99 | 351 89% | 11k | $42k (exactly $42,015) | STP WORKS |
| | Mexican Ninja | $16.99 | 76 89% | 2.3k | $39k (exactly $38,737) | Madbricks | |
| | Arashi Gaiden | $9.99 | 64 95% | 1.9k | $19k (exactly $19,181) | Statera Studio, Wired Dreams Studio | |
| | 戦国英雄譚-Samurai Heroes- | $9.99 | 47 89% | 1.4k | $14k (exactly $14,086) | hizaniya games | |
| | High Fructose | · EA | $9.99 | 29 89% | 870 | $8.7k (exactly $8,691) | Chazak Games |
| | JUST ONE MAN | · EA | $10.99 | 20 90% | 600 | $6.6k (exactly $6,594) | Raikiri |
| | Ninja Remix | $5.00 | 39 74% | 1.2k | $5.9k (exactly $5,850) | Hesoyam | |
| | NINJA KAMUI: SHINOBI ORIGINS | $19.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $3.6k (exactly $3,598) | G.rev Ltd. | |
| | Lightning Katana | $7.99 | 12 100% | 360 | $2.9k (exactly $2,876) | Juicy Pulp Games | |
| | Nightmarena | $5.99 | 15 93% | 450 | $2.7k (exactly $2,696) | Colo Coko |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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