Do I ship it?

Games › Naval Combat › Naval Combat + World War II

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a WWII Naval Combat game?

Naval Combat + World War II

Only 12 developers shipped a WWII Naval Combat game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Task Force Admiral - Vol.1: American Carrier Battles, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.7k, ×4.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $150. Revenue is up 3650% on the market; 11 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 3650% on the market, 11 announced, ×1.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Naval Combat + World War II
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.0M → $76k → $105k → $150 → $208k (still earning) → $2.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Naval Combat + World War II: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $2.7k (exactly $2,697)
Top 25% $110k (exactly $110,372)
Top 5% $759k (exactly $759,410)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 71
Announced 11
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 3650% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Naval Combat
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
World War II
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Naval Combat
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 1,354 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $2.7k, 1 in 4 over $110k, 1 in 20 over $750k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 11 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Naval Combat with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + MilitaryFair37 devs · median $2.2k · 48 announced
  2. + Bullet HellFair14 devs · median $1.1k · 16 announced
  3. + ArcadeLong shot21 devs · median $300 · 25 announced
  4. + Open WorldPoor odds26 devs · median $38k · 80 announced
  5. + CraftingPoor odds11 devs · median $38k · 21 announced
  6. + SandboxPoor odds15 devs · median $29k · 57 announced
  7. + BuildingPoor odds6 devs · median $29k · 28 announced
  8. + Base BuildingPoor odds12 devs · median $29k · 30 announced
  9. + RTSPoor odds20 devs · median $19k · 32 announced
  10. + Co-opPoor odds14 devs · median $17k · 25 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpPoor odds8 devs · median $17k · 28 announced
  12. + MedievalPoor odds8 devs · median $17k · 30 announced

All 54 pairs on the Naval Combat page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

UBOAT 2024 · $23M Azur Lane Crosswave 2020 · $7.8M Ultimate Admiral: Dreadnoughts 2023 · $7.0M War on the Sea 2021 · $3.8M Wolfpack 2019 · EA · $2.0M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
UBOAT older $29.99 25,568 83% 767k $23M (exactly $23,003,530) Deep Water Studio
Azur Lane Crosswave older $39.99 6,537 68% 196k $7.8M (exactly $7,842,439) IDEA FACTORY, COMPILE HEART, FELISTELLA
Ultimate Admiral: Dreadnoughts older $34.99 6,664 62% 200k $7.0M (exactly $6,995,201) Game-Labs
War on the Sea older $39.99 3,151 76% 95k $3.8M (exactly $3,780,255) Killerfish Games
Wolfpack · EA older $34.99 1,862 88% 56k $2.0M (exactly $1,954,541) Usurpator AB
NavalArt · EA older $19.99 2,362 90% 71k $1.4M (exactly $1,416,491) Rigidbody
Rule the Waves 3 older $39.99 855 87% 26k $1.0M (exactly $1,025,744) Naval Warfare Simulations
Destroyer: The U-Boat Hunter older $29.99 852 73% 26k $767k (exactly $766,544) Iron Wolf Studio S.A.
Silent Hunter® III older $9.99 2,544 87% 76k $762k (exactly $762,437) Ubisoft
Task Force Admiral - Vol.1: American Carrier Battles · EA $39.99 633 87% 19k $759k (exactly $759,410) Drydock Dreams Games
Battleship Command · EA $24.99 278 93% 8.3k $208k (exactly $208,417) Bracer
Victory at Sea Atlantic - World War II Naval Warfare $39.99 92 60% 2.8k $110k (exactly $110,372) Evil Twin Artworks
Silent Shark $17.99 125 98% 3.8k $67k (exactly $67,462) John Goering
ShipCrafter · EA $7.99 209 90% 6.3k $50k (exactly $50,097) Myrmecoman
Kamikaze Survivors $9.99 9 77% 270 $2.7k (exactly $2,697) DaboSoft
Battleships and Carriers 2: 1940-1945 $15.99 5 60% 150 $2.4k (exactly $2,398) SLS
Midway 1981 $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) David Riggle
Turning The Tide $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Funky Monkey Games
Battleships Combat: Evolved $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) Mantegral Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.