Do I ship it?

Games › Naval Combat › Naval Combat + Arcade

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Arcade Naval Combat game?

Naval Combat + Arcade

Of 21 developers who shipped an Arcade Naval Combat game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced.

Verdict: long shot, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300, ×0.5 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, but 1 in 20 cleared $50k, ×80 the market median. Revenue is up 170% on the market; 25 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 170% on the market, 25 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Naval Combat + Arcade
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $15k → $959 → $5.1k → $955 → $150 → $898 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Naval Combat + Arcade: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $300 (exactly $300)
Top 25% $1.9k (exactly $1,946)
Top 5% $50k (exactly $50,097)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 61
Announced 25
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 170% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Naval Combat
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Arcade
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Naval Combat, Arcade; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Bullet Hell, Action Roguelike
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $8.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Stylized, Top-Down
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $8.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 782 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $300, 1 in 4 over $1.9k, 1 in 20 over $50k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Naval Combat with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + World War IIFair12 devs · median $2.7k · 11 announced
  2. + MilitaryFair37 devs · median $2.2k · 48 announced
  3. + Bullet HellFair14 devs · median $1.1k · 16 announced
  4. + Open WorldPoor odds26 devs · median $38k · 80 announced
  5. + CraftingPoor odds11 devs · median $38k · 21 announced
  6. + SandboxPoor odds15 devs · median $29k · 57 announced
  7. + BuildingPoor odds6 devs · median $29k · 28 announced
  8. + Base BuildingPoor odds12 devs · median $29k · 30 announced
  9. + RTSPoor odds20 devs · median $19k · 32 announced
  10. + Co-opPoor odds14 devs · median $17k · 25 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpPoor odds8 devs · median $17k · 28 announced
  12. + MedievalPoor odds8 devs · median $17k · 30 announced

All 54 pairs on the Naval Combat page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Corsairs Legacy - Pirate Action RPG & Sea Battles 2024 · EA · $656k Boat Crew 2022 · EA · $323k Waves of Steel 2023 · $245k Shipped 2019 · $175k Furious Seas 2021 · $118k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Corsairs Legacy - Pirate Action RPG & Sea Battles · EA older $19.99 1,094 74% 33k $656k (exactly $656,072) Mauris, Tech-5 UG
Boat Crew · EA older $24.99 431 89% 13k $323k (exactly $323,121) Tabbing Tabby
Waves of Steel older $19.99 408 90% 12k $245k (exactly $244,678) TMA Games LLC
Shipped older $9.99 584 96% 18k $175k (exactly $175,025) Majorariatto
Furious Seas older $19.99 196 71% 5.9k $118k (exactly $117,541) Future Immersive
Airships: Lost Flotilla $8.99 290 92% 8.7k $78k (exactly $78,213) David Stark
Beach Invasion 1945 - Pacific older $9.99 255 78% 7.7k $76k (exactly $76,424) AIx2 Games
Battle Group 2 older $7.99 257 84% 7.7k $62k (exactly $61,603) Bane Games
ShipCrafter · EA $7.99 209 90% 6.3k $50k (exactly $50,097) Myrmecoman
Curse of Pirates $9.99 121 80% 3.6k $36k (exactly $36,264) Funky Parrot
Beach Invasion 1915-Gallipoli $7.99 73 71% 2.2k $17k (exactly $17,498) AIx2 Games
Ocean Survivors $3.49 38 97% 1.1k $4.0k (exactly $3,979) Aremji Games
Fleet Hunters $4.99 13 100% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) Gnarly Labs SRL
Wyrd Waters $1.99 16 100% 480 $955 (exactly $955) Maximalist
The Fishercat $4.99 6 83% 180 $898 (exactly $898) MACARON STUDIO
Idle Space Shooter $1.99 13 30% 390 $776 (exactly $776) Phantom Prophecy Games
Fantasy Air-Sea Battles Showdown $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) WANG WENJIE

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.