Do I ship it?

Games › Co-op › Co-op + Naval Combat

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Co-op Naval Combat game?

Co-op + Naval Combat

Only 14 developers shipped a Co-op Naval Combat game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Soulmask, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $17k, ×12 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.4k; 1 in 20 cleared $16M, ×11078 the market median. Revenue is down 55% on the market; 25 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 11.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 55% on the market, 25 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Co-op + Naval Combat
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $38k → $899 → $296k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Co-op + Naval Combat: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $2.4k (exactly $2,398)
Median $17k (exactly $17,498)
Top 25% $240k (exactly $240,480)
Top 5% $17M (exactly $16,594,966)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 41
Announced 25
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 150% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Co-op
effort 7 / 10 · low · co-op on Steam means online sessions and drop-in sync
Naval Combat
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Co-op, Naval Combat
Price point
$11.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 76% positive over 20,652 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.4k, median $17k, 1 in 4 over $240k, 1 in 20 over $16M.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.4k. 25 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Co-op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SuperheroFair9 devs · median $11k · 17 announced
  2. + Boomer ShooterFair16 devs · median $6.9k · 24 announced
  3. + GamblingFair22 devs · median $4.4k · 32 announced
  4. + NinjaFair13 devs · median $4.2k · 13 announced
  5. + TypingLong shot16 devs · median $810 · 13 announced
  6. + Word GameLong shot23 devs · median $267 · 23 announced
  7. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds58 devs · median $515k · 127 announced
  8. + World War IIPoor odds12 devs · median $372k · 23 announced
  9. + AutomationPoor odds48 devs · median $369k · 110 announced
  10. + TransportationPoor odds17 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds15 devs · median $164k · 19 announced
  12. + Turn-BasedPoor odds12 devs · median $131k · 19 announced

All 230 pairs on the Co-op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

ATLAS 2018 · EA · $33M Soulmask 2026 · $17M Battlefleet Gothic: Armada 2 2019 · $5.8M Skull and Bones 2024 · $4.2M Blazing Sails 2023 · $3.8M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
ATLAS · EA older $29.99 37,119 46% 1.1M $33M (exactly $33,395,964) Grapeshot Games, Instinct Games
Soulmask $29.99 18,445 76% 553k $17M (exactly $16,594,966) CampFire Studio
Battlefleet Gothic: Armada 2 older $19.99 9,701 74% 291k $5.8M (exactly $5,817,690) Tindalos Interactive
Skull and Bones older $29.99 4,650 65% 140k $4.2M (exactly $4,183,605) Ubisoft Singapore
Blazing Sails older $14.99 8,361 87% 251k $3.8M (exactly $3,759,942) Get Up Games, Iceberg Interactive
Frozenheim older $19.99 3,463 70% 104k $2.1M (exactly $2,076,761) Paranoid Interactive
Wolfpack · EA older $34.99 1,862 88% 56k $2.0M (exactly $1,954,541) Usurpator AB
Windward older $9.99 2,668 79% 80k $800k (exactly $799,600) Tasharen Entertainment Inc.
IronWolf VR older $19.99 1,087 94% 33k $652k (exactly $651,874) Ionized Studios
Forgotten Seas $24.99 475 75% 14k $356k (exactly $356,108) Pangea Game Studios
Darkwater $9.99 989 77% 30k $296k (exactly $296,403) Targon Studios
Windward Horizon $19.99 401 79% 12k $240k (exactly $240,480) Tasharen Entertainment Inc.
BattleCap $11.99 159 96% 4.8k $57k (exactly $57,192) MechAlmond Productions
Sailing alone:Aftermath · EA $18.99 67 68% 2.0k $38k (exactly $38,170) MLStudio
Beach Invasion 1915-Gallipoli $7.99 73 71% 2.2k $17k (exactly $17,498) AIx2 Games
The Pirate: Republic of Nassau $19.99 25 68% 750 $15k (exactly $14,992) Home Net Games
Abyss Crew $9.99 10 30% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) PGM Studio, Deep Slap Studio
Fuel Cell · EA $9.99 8 100% 240 $2.4k (exactly $2,398) Efshapo

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.