Do I ship it?

Games › Naval Combat › Naval Combat + Vehicular Combat

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Naval Combat Vehicular Combat game?

Naval Combat + Vehicular Combat

Only 12 developers shipped a Naval Combat Vehicular Combat game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Assassin's Creed Black Flag Resynced, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 45 more are announced, ×4.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $47M, ×76378 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 45 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 45 announced, ×4.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Naval Combat + Vehicular Combat
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $26k → $15k → $479 (still earning) → $719 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Naval Combat + Vehicular Combat: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $759k (exactly $759,410)
Top 5% $48M (exactly $47,965,604)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 48
Announced 45
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 1000% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 25%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Naval Combat
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Vehicular Combat
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Naval Combat, Vehicular Combat
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 29,220 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $600, 1 in 4 over $750k, 1 in 20 over $47M.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 45 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Naval Combat with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + World War IIFair12 devs · median $2.7k · 11 announced
  2. + MilitaryFair37 devs · median $2.2k · 48 announced
  3. + Bullet HellFair14 devs · median $1.1k · 16 announced
  4. + ArcadeLong shot21 devs · median $300 · 25 announced
  5. + Open WorldPoor odds26 devs · median $38k · 80 announced
  6. + CraftingPoor odds11 devs · median $38k · 21 announced
  7. + SandboxPoor odds15 devs · median $29k · 57 announced
  8. + BuildingPoor odds6 devs · median $29k · 28 announced
  9. + Base BuildingPoor odds12 devs · median $29k · 30 announced
  10. + RTSPoor odds20 devs · median $19k · 32 announced
  11. + Co-opPoor odds14 devs · median $17k · 25 announced
  12. + Online Co-OpPoor odds8 devs · median $17k · 28 announced

All 54 pairs on the Naval Combat page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Assassin's Creed Black Flag Resynced 2026 · $48M Besiege 2020 · $22M VTOL VR 2017 · $18M From the Depths 2020 · $8.3M Naval Action 2019 · $6.1M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Assassin's Creed Black Flag Resynced $59.99 26,652 81% 800k $48M (exactly $47,965,604) Ubisoft Singapore, Ubisoft Barcelona, U… (Ubisoft Singapore, Ubisoft Barcelona, Ubisoft Bordeaux, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubisoft Chengdu, Ubisoft India, Ubisoft Kyiv, Ubisoft Montpellier, Ubisoft Philippines, Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Shanghai, Ubisoft Montreal, Ubisoft Romania)
Besiege older $14.99 48,045 95% 1.4M $22M (exactly $21,605,836) Spiderling Studios
VTOL VR older $29.99 19,885 98% 597k $18M (exactly $17,890,534) Boundless Dynamics, LLC
From the Depths older $24.99 11,059 89% 332k $8.3M (exactly $8,290,932) Brilliant Skies Ltd.
Naval Action older $19.99 10,187 52% 306k $6.1M (exactly $6,109,144) Bermuda Computer Club
Airships: Conquer the Skies older $24.99 6,197 95% 186k $4.6M (exactly $4,645,891) David Stark
Ultimate Admiral: Age of Sail older $29.99 2,007 78% 60k $1.8M (exactly $1,805,698) Game-Labs
Forefront $27.99 1,913 84% 57k $1.6M (exactly $1,606,346) Triangle Factory
Task Force Admiral - Vol.1: American Carrier Battles · EA $39.99 633 87% 19k $759k (exactly $759,410) Drydock Dreams Games
Waves of Steel older $19.99 408 90% 12k $245k (exactly $244,678) TMA Games LLC
Legacy of Sail $11.99 2 100% 60 $719 (exactly $719) Hydran Software
Sail of Dreams $2.99 7 100% 210 $628 (exactly $628) DreamDwarf
Mk50TWL Vehicle Battler Custom Slider · EA $4.99 4 100% 120 $599 (exactly $599) TimberWoodLumber Games
Fortified Space · EA $3.99 4 100% 120 $479 (exactly $479) Nightsail Game Studios
Lockstone Mountains $2.99 3 100% 90 $269 (exactly $269) Waesome Games
Turning The Tide $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Funky Monkey Games
Navy Mission $2.00 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) D.IKUSHIMA

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.