Games › Naval Combat › Naval Combat + Physics
Should I ship a Physics Naval Combat game?
Naval Combat + Physics
Only 7 developers shipped a Physics Naval Combat game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Modern Naval Warfare, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 30 more are announced, ×6.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $4.0k, ×6.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $420; 1 in 20 cleared $420k, ×679 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 30 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $419 (exactly $419) |
|---|---|
| Median | $4.0k (exactly $4,047) |
| Top 25% | $57k (exactly $57,192) |
| Top 5% | $427k (exactly $426,529) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 7 |
| Released games | 27 |
| Announced | 30 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $11.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 150% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Naval Combat
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Physics
- effort 5 / 10 · low · emergent simulation bugs need hands-on tuning
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Naval Combat, Physics
- Price point
- $11.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.
The top 10 games average 92% positive over 106,493 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $420. 30 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Naval Combat with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + World War IIFair
- + MilitaryFair
- + Bullet HellFair
- + ArcadeLong shot
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + BuildingPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
- + RTSPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
Comparable games
UBOAT 2024 · $23M 
Besiege 2020 · $22M 
VTOL VR 2017 · $18M 
From the Depths 2020 · $8.3M 
Modern Naval Warfare 2026 · EA · $427k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | UBOAT | older | $29.99 | 25,568 83% | 767k | $23M (exactly $23,003,530) | Deep Water Studio |
| | Besiege | older | $14.99 | 48,045 95% | 1.4M | $22M (exactly $21,605,836) | Spiderling Studios |
| | VTOL VR | older | $29.99 | 19,885 98% | 597k | $18M (exactly $17,890,534) | Boundless Dynamics, LLC |
| | From the Depths | older | $24.99 | 11,059 89% | 332k | $8.3M (exactly $8,290,932) | Brilliant Skies Ltd. |
| | Modern Naval Warfare | · EA | $59.99 | 237 58% | 7.1k | $427k (exactly $426,529) | Wave Ops |
 | Sail Forth | older | $19.99 | 604 92% | 18k | $362k (exactly $362,219) | Festive Vector |
 | Boat Crew | · EA older | $24.99 | 431 89% | 13k | $323k (exactly $323,121) | Tabbing Tabby |
 | SHIPS AT WAR | · EA older | $14.99 | 369 76% | 11k | $166k (exactly $165,939) | Golddorf Spieleentwicklung |
 | Sub Command | older | $18.99 | 136 74% | 4.1k | $77k (exactly $77,479) | Sonalysts |
 | BattleCap | $11.99 | 159 96% | 4.8k | $57k (exactly $57,192) | MechAlmond Productions | |
 | ShipCrafter | · EA | $7.99 | 209 90% | 6.3k | $50k (exactly $50,097) | Myrmecoman |
 | A-Spec First Assault | $14.99 | 9 55% | 270 | $4.0k (exactly $4,047) | Digitum Software | |
 | Hullbreaker | · EA | $6.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $419 (exactly $419) | Dalton |
 | Salvager | · EA | $1.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $60 (exactly $60) | Fox and Hollow Studios |
 | The graveyard duty fall of the last demon | · EA | $14.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Faustina Mutamba |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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