Do I ship it?

GamesSailingSailing + Nature

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Nature Sailing game?

Sailing + Nature

Of 22 developers who shipped a Nature Sailing game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 54 more are announced, ×4.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.6k, ×2.6 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $390k, ×629 the market median. Revenue is up 225% on the market; 54 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 225% on the market, 54 announced, ×4.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Sailing + Nature
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 22
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.0k → $239 → $1.7k → $1.4k → $3.4k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Sailing + Nature: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 22
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,617)
Top 25% $3.4k (exactly $3,355)
Top 5% $395k (exactly $395,092)
Developers, 2 yr 22
Released games 46
Announced 54
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 225% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Sailing
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Nature
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Sailing; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Simulation
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, Atmospheric, Cozy
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 5,980 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $3.3k, 1 in 20 over $390k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 54 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Sailing with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + UnderwaterFair24 devs · median $3.9k · 30 announced
  2. + Base BuildingPoor odds9 devs · median $356k · 38 announced
  3. + Immersive SimPoor odds16 devs · median $69k · 42 announced
  4. + BuildingPoor odds13 devs · median $52k · 40 announced
  5. + SandboxPoor odds22 devs · median $45k · 73 announced
  6. + Co-opPoor odds14 devs · median $38k · 40 announced
  7. + Procedural GenerationPoor odds10 devs · median $27k · 40 announced
  8. + CraftingPoor odds26 devs · median $17k · 43 announced
  9. + Open WorldPoor odds48 devs · median $15k · 119 announced
  10. + Action RPGPoor odds18 devs · median $15k · 25 announced
  11. + Resource ManagementPoor odds18 devs · median $8.5k · 55 announced
  12. + SurvivalPoor odds24 devs · median $6.6k · 63 announced

All 47 pairs on the Sailing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Cat Goes Fishing older $6.99 15,431 94% 463k $3.2M (exactly $3,235,881) Cat5Games
Spilled! $5.99 4,905 93% 147k $881k (exactly $881,428) Lente
Moonglow Bay older $24.99 679 66% 20k $509k (exactly $509,046) Bunnyhug
WILL: Follow The Light $24.99 527 73% 16k $395k (exactly $395,092) TomorrowHead Studio
Escape The Pacific · EA older $14.99 719 66% 22k $323k (exactly $323,334) Gamers4Gamers Team
Collector's Cove $19.99 136 86% 4.1k $82k (exactly $81,559) VoodooDuck
Profit Sea Incremental $4.99 327 79% 9.8k $49k (exactly $48,952) Monkey Cube
Hazeron Starship older $19.99 55 70% 1.7k $33k (exactly $32,984) Hazeron Freehold LLC
Huge Jaws older $24.99 23 65% 690 $17k (exactly $17,243) Piece Of Voxel
JAWS: Retro Edition $14.99 38 97% 1.1k $17k (exactly $17,089) Limited Run Games
Fish & Hike · EA $6.99 16 93% 480 $3.4k (exactly $3,355) Sleepwalking Potatoes
Speedboat Simulator · EA $8.99 10 70% 300 $2.7k (exactly $2,697) Hard Shark Games
Dragons Reef VR $19.99 4 50% 120 $2.4k (exactly $2,399) Radoslaw Kutowinski
The Honest Little Fisher $7.99 9 88% 270 $2.2k (exactly $2,157) Kiene & Sohn
Open Fishing 2 $6.99 8 62% 240 $1.7k (exactly $1,678) Kunstaat

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.