Do I ship it?

Games › RTS › RTS + Multiple Endings

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Multiple Endings RTS?

RTS + Multiple Endings

Of 23 developers who shipped a Multiple Endings RTS in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 37 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×0.8 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $800k, ×537 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 37 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 37 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
RTS + Multiple Endings
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 23
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $69k → $1.8k → $151k → $899 → $13k → $13k → $1.3k (still earning) → $90 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for RTS + Multiple Endings: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 23
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,254)
Top 25% $49k (exactly $48,899)
Top 5% $805k (exactly $804,730)
Developers, 2 yr 23
Released games 60
Announced 37
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

RTS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
RTS, Multiple Endings; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Choices Matter, Simulation
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Top-Down, Dark
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 7,049 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $48k, 1 in 20 over $800k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 7 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 37 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

RTS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomeFair12 devs · median $64k · 13 announced
  2. + Outbreak SimFair16 devs · median $2.6k · 14 announced
  3. + HorrorFair20 devs · median $2.4k · 27 announced
  4. + NavalFair15 devs · median $2.4k · 21 announced
  5. + TabletopFair25 devs · median $1.9k · 33 announced
  6. + SportsLong shot19 devs · median $861 · 9 announced
  7. + PuzzleLong shot48 devs · median $479 · 40 announced
  8. + World War IIPoor odds23 devs · median $105k · 38 announced
  9. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds28 devs · median $64k · 41 announced
  10. + Open WorldPoor odds45 devs · median $35k · 100 announced
  11. + Colony SimPoor odds87 devs · median $31k · 159 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds108 devs · median $30k · 180 announced

All 149 pairs on the RTS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Anno 1800 2019 · $54M Last Train Home 2023 · $5.4M Hollywood Animal 2025 · EA · $2.3M Breakout 13 2023 · $2.1M War Hospital 2024 · $905k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Anno 1800 older $59.99 29,854 81% 896k $54M (exactly $53,728,244) Ubisoft Mainz
Last Train Home older $39.99 4,511 86% 135k $5.4M (exactly $5,411,847) Ashborne Games
Hollywood Animal · EA $19.99 3,845 73% 115k $2.3M (exactly $2,305,846) Weappy Wholesome
Breakout 13 older $9.99 6,899 87% 207k $2.1M (exactly $2,067,630) ALT Lab
War Hospital older $29.99 1,006 60% 30k $905k (exactly $905,098) Brave Lamb Studio S.A.
Demon Lord: Just a Block $12.99 2,065 96% 62k $805k (exactly $804,730) YuWave
War Room older $29.99 661 51% 20k $595k (exactly $594,702) Binge Gaming OU, Wastelands Interactive
Air Defender · EA $20.19 364 78% 11k $220k (exactly $220,475) ROTOR3
The Impregnation of the Elves: Conquest of the Arrogant Fairies by Impregnation older $10.99 467 65% 14k $154k (exactly $153,970) 永恆艾莉絲工坊
Chromosome Evil 2 older $19.99 252 88% 7.6k $151k (exactly $151,124) S.C. 16 BIT NIGHTS S.R.L., dovganovskiy
Welcome Back, Commander $14.99 230 80% 6.9k $103k (exactly $103,431) S.C. 16 BIT NIGHTS S.R.L.
Moon Corona · EA $13.99 210 82% 6.3k $88k (exactly $88,137) 不倒龙工作室, Budaolong Studio
BM Love Cafe $7.99 204 77% 6.1k $49k (exactly $48,899) zzzgame
Status One $14.99 30 73% 900 $13k (exactly $13,491) LastCall Studio
NAPOLEON: RULE OF IRON $19.99 22 90% 660 $13k (exactly $13,193) Eisengeist Studio
GiLGuL $19.99 19 94% 570 $11k (exactly $11,394) Production Exabilities
Sun Halo $5.99 60 85% 1.8k $11k (exactly $10,782) Renka

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.