Do I ship it?

GamesRTSRTS + Mining

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mining RTS?

RTS + Mining

Only 15 developers shipped a Mining RTS in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Starminer, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $6.3k, ×4.2 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $900; 1 in 20 cleared $1.6M, ×1092 the market median. Revenue is down 35% on the market; 28 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 35% on the market, 28 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
RTS + Mining
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for RTS + Mining: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $898 (exactly $898)
Median $6.3k (exactly $6,287)
Top 25% $131k (exactly $131,290)
Top 5% $1.6M (exactly $1,635,655)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 39
Announced 28
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 175% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

RTS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Mining
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
RTS, Mining; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Economy, Management, Sandbox
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 69% positive over 3,512 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $900, median $6.3k, 1 in 4 over $130k, 1 in 20 over $1.6M.

3 in 10 developers made under $900. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

RTS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomeFair12 devs · median $64k · 13 announced
  2. + Outbreak SimFair16 devs · median $2.6k · 14 announced
  3. + HorrorFair20 devs · median $2.4k · 27 announced
  4. + NavalFair15 devs · median $2.4k · 21 announced
  5. + TabletopFair25 devs · median $1.9k · 33 announced
  6. + SportsLong shot19 devs · median $861 · 9 announced
  7. + PuzzleLong shot48 devs · median $479 · 40 announced
  8. + World War IIPoor odds23 devs · median $105k · 38 announced
  9. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds28 devs · median $64k · 41 announced
  10. + Open WorldPoor odds45 devs · median $35k · 100 announced
  11. + Colony SimPoor odds87 devs · median $31k · 159 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds108 devs · median $30k · 180 announced

All 149 pairs on the RTS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Starminer · EA $29.99 1,818 72% 55k $1.6M (exactly $1,635,655) CoolAndGoodGames
Industry Giant 4.0 $24.99 506 33% 15k $379k (exactly $379,348) Don VS Dodo
IDUN - Frontline Survival $14.99 685 77% 21k $308k (exactly $308,044) IDUN Interactive
Void Destroyer 2 older $9.99 652 80% 20k $195k (exactly $195,404) Iteration 11
Beneath the Mountain older $24.99 196 63% 5.9k $147k (exactly $146,941) Omnis Rector Studios
Deep Corp · EA $11.99 365 89% 11k $131k (exactly $131,290) KishMish Games
Shrot older $6.99 109 89% 3.3k $23k (exactly $22,857) Spytihněv
Flow Of War $12.99 40 85% 1.2k $16k (exactly $15,588) Rongcon Games
Fantasy World / 幻想世界 $19.99 14 71% 420 $8.4k (exactly $8,396) Fantasy Studio
Harvest Village $6.99 31 80% 930 $6.5k (exactly $6,501) Musa GUNGOR
Orcdom $4.99 42 78% 1.3k $6.3k (exactly $6,287) GAGA
Apocalypse Factory · EA $9.99 8 50% 240 $2.4k (exactly $2,398) Mind Leak
Starlight Mining Company $9.99 3 66% 90 $899 (exactly $899) Glophouse Labs LLC

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.