Do I ship it?

GamesSurvivalSurvival + Word Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Word Game Survival game?

Survival + Word Game

Of 22 developers who shipped a Word Game Survival game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.1k, ×3.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $600. Revenue is down 25% on the market; 29 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 25% on the market, 29 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Survival + Word Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 22
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.2k → $629 → $2.1k → $2.2k → $3.1k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Survival + Word Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 22
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $2.1k (exactly $2,097)
Top 25% $7.5k (exactly $7,492)
Top 5% $697k (exactly $696,503)
Developers, 2 yr 22
Released games 51
Announced 29
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 25% on the market, supply 115% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Survival
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Word Game
effort 1 / 10 · high · dictionary logic and simple UI

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Survival, Word Game; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Interactive Fiction, Multiple Endings
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Anime, Story Rich, Dark
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 67% positive over 12,020 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $2.1k, 1 in 4 over $7.4k, 1 in 20 over $690k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 8 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Survival with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds14 devs · median $74k · 10 announced
  2. + Social DeductionFair31 devs · median $6.2k · 35 announced
  3. + CatsFair33 devs · median $1.2k · 34 announced
  4. + CollectathonFair77 devs · median $1.0k · 84 announced
  5. + IdlerFair96 devs · median $836 · 99 announced
  6. + Auto BattlerFair79 devs · median $807 · 90 announced
  7. + IncrementalFair101 devs · median $599 · 130 announced
  8. + DogsFair20 devs · median $535 · 19 announced
  9. + Martial ArtsLong shot19 devs · median $419 · 17 announced
  10. + Boomer ShooterLong shot39 devs · median $359 · 32 announced
  11. + DiplomacyPoor odds16 devs · median $100k · 28 announced
  12. + SteampunkPoor odds10 devs · median $78k · 49 announced

All 234 pairs on the Survival page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Weeping Swan: Ten Days of the City's Fall $11.99 8,227 58% 247k $3.0M (exactly $2,959,252) 零创游戏(ZerocreationGame)
DEATH NOTE Killer Within $9.99 2,324 84% 70k $697k (exactly $696,503) Grounding Inc.
我来自江湖 From Jianghu · EA older $9.99 2,227 81% 67k $667k (exactly $667,432) Gamexel Studio
Misty Judgment $8.99 1,170 92% 35k $316k (exactly $315,549) 次元边界
Dragon Island older $15.99 113 49% 3.4k $54k (exactly $54,206) Kulplant
Cruel Reality: A horrible dream older $29.99 38 97% 1.1k $34k (exactly $34,189) Keer&Deem Creations
Nodes Escape older $1.99 529 85% 16k $32k (exactly $31,581) 夜喵, Allen
Liar Moon Shangri-La older $44.99 21 57% 630 $28k (exactly $28,344) Rejet
Eternal Sword Tomb · EA $8.99 68 77% 2.0k $18k (exactly $18,340) 阿郎
翎之歌 $6.99 83 89% 2.5k $17k (exactly $17,405) YuKi制作组, 崩溃猛犸
Typing Ninja $9.99 25 96% 750 $7.5k (exactly $7,492) Brain Boost Ninja
Runren Simulator $1.99 59 91% 1.8k $3.5k (exactly $3,522) K.K.
KeyBreach $4.99 21 95% 630 $3.1k (exactly $3,144) sawworm Games
Spell Wizard $2.99 25 84% 750 $2.2k (exactly $2,242) Wushed
Text Escape: Doomsday City $3.99 18 61% 540 $2.2k (exactly $2,155) 齿轮游戏

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.