Do I ship it?

GamesSurvivalSurvival + Martial Arts

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Martial-Arts Survival game?

Survival + Martial Arts

Only 19 developers shipped a Martial-Arts Survival game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Matchless Kungfu, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced.

Verdict: long shot, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $420, ×0.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, but 1 in 20 cleared $4.0M, ×6451 the market median. Revenue is up 105% on the market; 17 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 105% on the market, 17 announced, ×1.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Survival + Martial Arts
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $501k → $68k → $300 → $419 → $299 → $63k (still earning) → $359 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Survival + Martial Arts: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $419 (exactly $419)
Top 25% $28k (exactly $27,891)
Top 5% $4.1M (exactly $4,050,973)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 58
Announced 17
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 105% on the market, supply 70% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Survival
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Martial Arts
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Survival; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Building, Character Customization, RPG
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 74% positive over 10,434 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $420, 1 in 4 over $27k, 1 in 20 over $4.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Survival with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds14 devs · median $74k · 10 announced
  2. + Social DeductionFair31 devs · median $6.2k · 35 announced
  3. + Word GameFair22 devs · median $2.1k · 29 announced
  4. + CatsFair33 devs · median $1.2k · 34 announced
  5. + CollectathonFair77 devs · median $1.0k · 84 announced
  6. + IdlerFair96 devs · median $836 · 99 announced
  7. + Auto BattlerFair79 devs · median $807 · 90 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair101 devs · median $599 · 130 announced
  9. + DogsFair20 devs · median $535 · 19 announced
  10. + Boomer ShooterLong shot39 devs · median $359 · 32 announced
  11. + DiplomacyPoor odds16 devs · median $100k · 28 announced
  12. + SteampunkPoor odds10 devs · median $78k · 49 announced

All 234 pairs on the Survival page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Amazing Cultivation Simulator older $24.99 19,111 85% 573k $14M (exactly $14,327,517) GSQ Games
下一站江湖Ⅱ older $24.99 8,507 72% 255k $6.4M (exactly $6,377,698) 白玉京工作室
The Matchless Kungfu $19.99 6,755 79% 203k $4.1M (exactly $4,050,973) HuanMos Game
天外武林 (Traveler of Wuxia) older $24.99 3,151 85% 95k $2.4M (exactly $2,362,305) 香港商河洛互動娛樂股份有限公司
Eastern Era $24.99 3,028 65% 91k $2.3M (exactly $2,270,092) FunYoo Games
武侠乂 The Swordsmen X older $24.99 2,415 46% 72k $1.8M (exactly $1,810,526) 上海杜昂网络科技有限公司
我来自江湖 From Jianghu · EA older $9.99 2,227 81% 67k $667k (exactly $667,432) Gamexel Studio
The Swordsmen X: Survival older $34.99 477 27% 14k $501k (exactly $500,707) 上海润梦网络科技有限公司
XiuzhenWorld older $12.99 436 75% 13k $170k (exactly $169,909) Noforgetit
Skybreakers older $8.99 629 75% 19k $170k (exactly $169,641) Bingo Studio
Stack to Ascension $12.99 331 54% 9.9k $129k (exactly $128,991) Stack to Ascension
Murim Survival $7.99 264 75% 7.9k $63k (exactly $63,281) Sunwood Games
FIGHTING GIRL YURI $29.99 31 54% 930 $28k (exactly $27,891) UMAI NEKO
Redneck Brawl Turbo $12.99 10 90% 300 $3.9k (exactly $3,897) Kolossus Games
Samurai's Odyssey · EA $7.99 6 66% 180 $1.4k (exactly $1,438) CODEUM GAMES, 11Gen
Against Tribulation $2.99 6 50% 180 $538 (exactly $538) wooviet
Royale Battle $15.99 1 0% 30 $480 (exactly $480) ebc studios
SCP : A Star Replicator · EA $6.99 2 50% 60 $419 (exactly $419) Studio Serpent

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.