Games › Match 3 › Match 3 + Space
Should I ship a Space Match 3?
Match 3 + Space
Only 9 developers shipped a Space Match 3 in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Project: Stellar Girls, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 18 more are announced, ×6.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.
Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $150 against a market of $630. 18 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $60 (exactly $60) |
|---|---|
| Median | $150 (exactly $150) |
| Top 25% | $535 (exactly $535) |
| Top 5% | $4.8k (exactly $4,790) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 36 |
| Announced | 18 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Match 3
- Price point
- $4.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $4.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 78% positive over 1,841 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $60. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 18 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Match 3 with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Interactive FictionFair
- + RomanceFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + DemonsFair
- + Time ManagementFair
- + ShooterFair
- + MagicFair
- + Tower DefenseFair
- + Dark FantasyFair
- + PvPLong shot
- + CombatLong shot
- + DogsLong shot
Comparable games
Intergalactic Bubbles 2015 · $61k 
Super Star Path 2015 · $51k 
SEX Tentacles [18+] 2023 · $22k 
Orbox C 2016 · $11k 
MILF HUNTER 2022 · $6.3k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Intergalactic Bubbles | older | $1.99 | 1,019 79% | 31k | $61k (exactly $60,834) | Hellscape Games |
| | Super Star Path | older | $4.99 | 340 82% | 10k | $51k (exactly $50,898) | DYA Games |
| | SEX Tentacles [18+] | older | $3.99 | 181 57% | 5.4k | $22k (exactly $21,666) | Romantic Room |
| | Orbox C | older | $4.99 | 76 93% | 2.3k | $11k (exactly $11,377) | wins_84, gamebalance |
| | MILF HUNTER | older | $1.99 | 105 91% | 3.2k | $6.3k (exactly $6,268) | Milk Poison |
 | Project: Stellar Girls | $4.99 | 32 46% | 960 | $4.8k (exactly $4,790) | 430Games | |
 | Claws & Feathers 3 | older | $7.99 | 16 93% | 480 | $3.8k (exactly $3,835) | Adept Studios GD |
 | STEIIARIA | older | $4.99 | 24 70% | 720 | $3.6k (exactly $3,593) | YolkinS |
 | 1-Bit Revival: The Residuals of Null | older | $3.99 | 25 88% | 750 | $3.0k (exactly $2,992) | Alex Hanson-White |
 | Burger Patrol | older | $2.99 | 23 91% | 690 | $2.1k (exactly $2,063) | Vagabond Dog |
 | Arcadia: Cloudbound | $7.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $719 (exactly $719) | Paper Plane Studio | |
 | Gyre | $0.99 | 18 100% | 540 | $535 (exactly $535) | Klaxix | |
 | Junk-o-Tron | $5.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $180 (exactly $180) | Kobold's Keep Games | |
 | Nebulae’s Memory | $4.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $150 (exactly $150) | lughandpiv | |
 | Cat 3 | $2.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $90 (exactly $90) | adoptedmouse | |
 | Be touch-and-go | $1.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $60 (exactly $60) | FuQianDeBiFang | |
 | FISTAGON | $10.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Virtual Dawn | |
 | Guard Roulette | $2.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | ongmaker熔核工作室 |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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