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Should I ship a Match 3 Tower Defense?
Tower Defense + Match 3
Only 9 developers shipped a Match 3 Tower Defense in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Titanium Court, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 9 more are announced.
Verdict: fair, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $600, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $50. Revenue is up 320% on the market; 9 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $30 (exactly $30) |
|---|---|
| Median | $599 (exactly $599) |
| Top 25% | $2.0k (exactly $2,035) |
| Top 5% | $492k (exactly $491,972) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 27 |
| Announced | 9 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 320% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Tower Defense
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Match 3
- effort 2 / 10 · high · grid matching rules and cascades
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Tower Defense, Match 3
- Price point
- $6.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 89% positive over 1,676 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Tower Defense with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + DwarvesStrong odds
- + MiningFair
- + Survival HorrorFair
- + CapitalismFair
- + TanksFair
- + MechsFair
- + IdlerFair
- + PuzzleFair
- + Gun CustomizationFair
- + LogicFair
- + On-Rails ShooterFair
- + Psychological HorrorFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Titanium Court | $14.99 | 1,094 94% | 33k | $492k (exactly $491,972) | AP Thomson | |
| | Tomb of Tyrants | older | $7.99 | 234 78% | 7.0k | $56k (exactly $56,090) | Jake Huhman |
| | Cats on Duty | older | $9.99 | 142 90% | 4.3k | $43k (exactly $42,557) | Prikol Team |
| | ReignMaker | older | $14.99 | 47 80% | 1.4k | $21k (exactly $21,136) | Frogdice |
| | CrossOver: Roll For Initiative | older | $9.99 | 52 80% | 1.6k | $16k (exactly $15,584) | Gaterooze, Ink, MicroProse Software |
| | Underwater battles | older | $39.99 | 12 75% | 360 | $14k (exactly $14,396) | Stas Paty9mkin |
| | 转生魔塔 | $11.99 | 26 88% | 780 | $9.4k (exactly $9,352) | Zeros | |
| | Secrets of Egypt | older | $9.99 | 16 62% | 480 | $4.8k (exactly $4,795) | Stas Paty9mkin |
| | Terminal squad: Sentinel | older | $3.99 | 29 55% | 870 | $3.5k (exactly $3,471) | WinDARities, Driod Riot |
| | Supermagical | older | $3.99 | 24 79% | 720 | $2.9k (exactly $2,873) | Super Awesome Hyper Dimensional Mega Te… (Super Awesome Hyper Dimensional Mega Team) |
| | Pinball Hero | $3.99 | 17 76% | 510 | $2.0k (exactly $2,035) | COSO | |
| | BeatHero | $6.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $839 (exactly $839) | Rainboar Studios | |
| | 99 Games: Puzzle, Action, Strategy, Simulation, Casual, Roguelike, Shooter, RPG & More | $9.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $599 (exactly $599) | Chongqing Xishou Technology Co., Ltd | |
| | Merge Guard | $3.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $359 (exactly $359) | Raido Studios | |
| | Tap X3 | $0.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $30 (exactly $30) | Firewood Games | |
| | Match3Tower | $7.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | GraphXGames | |
| | Five Elements Clash Battle | $0.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | YIN YUAN |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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