Games › Real-Time › Real-Time + Magic
Should I ship a Magic Real-Time game?
Real-Time + Magic
Only 5 developers shipped a Magic Real-Time game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Castle Craft, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 7 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.
Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $4.5k against a market of $630. 7 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $1.9k (exactly $1,918) |
|---|---|
| Median | $4.5k (exactly $4,497) |
| Top 25% | $9.0k (exactly $8,992) |
| Top 5% | $288k (exactly $287,856) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 5 |
| Released games | 30 |
| Announced | 7 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $11.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 50% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Real-Time
- Price point
- $11.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $13.99.
The top 10 games average 77% positive over 7,594 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $2.0k. 7 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Real-Time with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Character CustomizationStrong odds
- + RogueliteFair
- + BuildingPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + WarPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
- + WargamePoor odds
- + PhysicsPoor odds
- + Tower DefensePoor odds
- + Action RTSPoor odds
- + StrategyPoor odds
- + RTSPoor odds
Comparable games
Shadows: Awakening 2018 · $1.4M 
Gord 2023 · $1.2M 
Godsworn 2024 · EA · $724k 
Vaporum 2017 · $599k 
Nevergrind Online 2024 · $586k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Shadows: Awakening | older | $29.99 | 1,535 75% | 46k | $1.4M (exactly $1,381,040) | Games Farm |
| | Gord | older | $49.99 | 809 53% | 24k | $1.2M (exactly $1,213,257) | Covenant.dev |
| | Godsworn | · EA older | $29.99 | 805 93% | 24k | $724k (exactly $724,258) | Thunderoak Interactive |
| | Vaporum | older | $19.99 | 998 84% | 30k | $599k (exactly $598,501) | Fatbot Games, s. r. o. |
| | Nevergrind Online | older | $15.99 | 1,221 86% | 37k | $586k (exactly $585,714) | Neverworks Games |
 | Sacrifice | older | $24.99 | 669 91% | 20k | $502k (exactly $501,549) | Shiny Entertainment |
 | Castle Craft | $19.99 | 480 82% | 14k | $288k (exactly $287,856) | Twin Earth | |
 | A Year Of Rain | older | $14.99 | 503 42% | 15k | $226k (exactly $226,199) | Daedalic Entertainment |
 | Healer's Quest | older | $14.99 | 228 86% | 6.8k | $103k (exactly $102,532) | Rablo Games |
 | Heroes of the Monkey Tavern | older | $7.99 | 346 74% | 10k | $83k (exactly $82,936) | Monkey Stories |
 | Eclipse Breaker | $11.99 | 25 96% | 750 | $9.0k (exactly $8,992) | Lunar Workshop, Jorge Rodriguez | |
 | Warsong | · EA | $14.99 | 10 70% | 300 | $4.5k (exactly $4,497) | Windforce |
 | TechnoSorcery | $7.99 | 8 100% | 240 | $1.9k (exactly $1,918) | The Ancient Arcanum | |
 | Yagazem Elements | $2.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $179 (exactly $179) | CirilXD |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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