Do I ship it?

Games › RTS › RTS + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Logic RTS?

RTS + Logic

Of 40 developers who shipped a Logic RTS in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 60 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $540, ×0.4 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150. 60 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper, while revenue is down 60% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 60% on the market, 60 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
RTS + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 40
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.5k → $178 → $9.0k → $598 → $1.9k → $3.0k → $390 (still earning) → $809 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for RTS + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 40
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $539 (exactly $539)
Top 25% $4.3k (exactly $4,341)
Top 5% $335k (exactly $335,232)
Developers, 2 yr 40
Released games 119
Announced 60
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 60% on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

RTS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
RTS, Logic; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Strategy, Management
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 3,264 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $540, 1 in 4 over $4.3k, 1 in 20 over $330k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 20 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 60 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

RTS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomeFair12 devs · median $64k · 13 announced
  2. + Outbreak SimFair16 devs · median $2.6k · 14 announced
  3. + HorrorFair20 devs · median $2.4k · 27 announced
  4. + NavalFair15 devs · median $2.4k · 21 announced
  5. + TabletopFair25 devs · median $1.9k · 33 announced
  6. + SportsLong shot19 devs · median $861 · 9 announced
  7. + PuzzleLong shot48 devs · median $479 · 40 announced
  8. + World War IIPoor odds23 devs · median $105k · 38 announced
  9. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds28 devs · median $64k · 41 announced
  10. + Open WorldPoor odds45 devs · median $35k · 100 announced
  11. + Colony SimPoor odds87 devs · median $31k · 159 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds108 devs · median $30k · 180 announced

All 149 pairs on the RTS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Oddsparks: An Automation Adventure 2025 · $1.7M Fly Corp 2023 · $1.4M Europa Universalis III Complete 2009 · $617k Worldwide Rush 2025 · $335k Microcosmum: survival of cells 2015 · $268k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Oddsparks: An Automation Adventure $29.99 1,867 82% 56k $1.7M (exactly $1,679,740) Massive Miniteam
Fly Corp older $14.99 3,112 85% 93k $1.4M (exactly $1,399,466) KishMish Games
Europa Universalis III Complete older $14.99 1,372 85% 41k $617k (exactly $616,988) Paradox Development Studio
Worldwide Rush $19.99 559 77% 17k $335k (exactly $335,232) Memel Games
Microcosmum: survival of cells older $7.99 1,117 80% 34k $268k (exactly $267,745) Satur Entertainment
Delivery INC older $14.99 257 71% 7.7k $116k (exactly $115,573) DIGIFOX
Super Loco World - Cozy Train Automation $9.99 329 76% 9.9k $99k (exactly $98,601) Andrii Bychkovskyi
Check Inn $14.99 197 84% 5.9k $89k (exactly $88,591) KishMish Games
Magic Trap older $49.99 23 86% 690 $34k (exactly $34,493) Gamesforgames
Dice Tavern: Farkle Roguelike $9.99 112 90% 3.4k $34k (exactly $33,566) Cavi Studio
ShoreTiles $6.99 90 74% 2.7k $19k (exactly $18,873) Voxel Studios
Hardware Tycoon $11.99 30 63% 900 $11k (exactly $10,791) NordCode
Gelluloid Domination $11.99 13 84% 390 $4.7k (exactly $4,676) Tractor Set GO!
Wet beach adventure $3.99 38 86% 1.1k $4.5k (exactly $4,549) Inspite, Bow GFA
Guandan $4.99 29 89% 870 $4.3k (exactly $4,341) Pixel Dance

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.