Do I ship it?

Games › Tennis › Tennis + Local Co-Op

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Co-Op Tennis game?

Tennis + Local Co-Op

Only 10 developers shipped a Local Co-Op Tennis game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Tennis Elbow 4, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 6 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $2.3k against a market of $630. 6 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 3.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 116165% on the market, 6 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tennis + Local Co-Op
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Tennis + Local Co-Op: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $2.3k (exactly $2,336)
Top 25% $23k (exactly $22,532)
Top 5% $969k (exactly $968,977)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 28
Announced 6
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 116165% on the market, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tennis
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Local Co-Op
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Tennis, Local Co-Op
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 8 games average 93% positive over 1,531 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $2.3k, 1 in 4 over $22k, 1 in 20 over $960k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 6 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tennis with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Local MultiplayerFair18 devs · median $2.3k · 10 announced
  2. + SimulationFair15 devs · median $1.7k · 10 announced
  3. + SportsFair41 devs · median $719 · 28 announced
  4. + ActionFair23 devs · median $628 · 12 announced
  5. + PvPLong shot17 devs · median $899 · 15 announced
  6. + Character CustomizationPoor odds9 devs · median $539 · 12 announced
  7. + ArcadeDead30 devs · median $267 · 18 announced
  8. + PhysicsDead17 devs · median $0 · 14 announced

All 8 pairs on the Tennis page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

AO Tennis 2 2020 · $1.9M TopSpin 2K25 2024 · $1.2M Tennis Elbow 4 2026 · $969k Tennis World Tour 2 2020 · $242k Pure Badminton 2025 · $194k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
AO Tennis 2 older $49.99 1,236 70% 37k $1.9M (exactly $1,853,629) Big Ant Studios
TopSpin 2K25 older $19.99 2,040 57% 61k $1.2M (exactly $1,223,388) Hangar 13
Tennis Elbow 4 $29.99 1,077 96% 32k $969k (exactly $968,977) Mana Games
Tennis World Tour 2 older $39.99 202 49% 6.1k $242k (exactly $242,339) Big Ant Studios
Pure Badminton $19.99 323 81% 9.7k $194k (exactly $193,703) DS SOFT
Tennis Elbow Manager 2 older $29.99 202 91% 6.1k $182k (exactly $181,739) Mana Games
Toasterball older $9.99 324 96% 9.7k $97k (exactly $97,103) Les Crafteurs
Super Sports Blast older $24.99 59 81% 1.8k $44k (exactly $44,232) Unfinished Pixel
Super Tennis Blast older $14.99 88 81% 2.6k $40k (exactly $39,574) Unfinished Pixel
10S FOREVER $7.99 94 98% 2.8k $23k (exactly $22,532) owch
Nickelodeon Extreme Tennis: Next! $29.99 11 81% 330 $9.9k (exactly $9,897) Old Skull Games
Casual Sport Series: Tennis $5.99 13 92% 390 $2.3k (exactly $2,336) Revulo Games
Casual Sport Series: Badminton $4.99 10 60% 300 $1.5k (exactly $1,497) Revulo Games
Tennis Pro Tour $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Tcherry
Super Cricket Fighter Turbo $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) Sparkling Vinegar
Gravity Pro $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) RS dynamics
Voodoo Strikers $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Cokoon Games Lab

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.