Do I ship it?

Games › Character Customization › Character Customization + Tennis

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Character Customization Tennis game?

Character Customization + Tennis

Only 9 developers shipped a Character Customization Tennis game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Pure Badminton, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 12 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $540, ×0.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $59; 1 in 20 cleared $190k, ×308 the market median. Revenue is up 3040% on the market; 12 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 3040% on the market, 12 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Character Customization + Tennis
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Character Customization + Tennis: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $59 (exactly $59)
Median $539 (exactly $539)
Top 25% $9.4k (exactly $9,431)
Top 5% $194k (exactly $193,703)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 26
Announced 12
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 3040% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Character Customization
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Tennis
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Character Customization, Tennis
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $49.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 72% positive over 2,982 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $59, median $540, 1 in 4 over $9.4k, 1 in 20 over $190k.

3 in 10 developers made under $59. 12 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Character Customization with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Football (American)Strong odds14 devs · median $3.6k · 12 announced
  2. + Real-TimeStrong odds7 devs · median $2.0k · 6 announced
  3. + Music-Based Procedural GenerationFair10 devs · median $18k · 8 announced
  4. + TransportationFair19 devs · median $7.2k · 24 announced
  5. + MinigamesFair27 devs · median $5.7k · 34 announced
  6. + DwarvesFair7 devs · median $3.2k · 13 announced
  7. + BikesFair11 devs · median $1.5k · 10 announced
  8. + IdlerFair210 devs · median $1.2k · 286 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair146 devs · median $1.2k · 190 announced
  10. + GamblingFair30 devs · median $836 · 32 announced
  11. + Precision PlatformerFair103 devs · median $748 · 116 announced
  12. + TypingFair27 devs · median $539 · 38 announced

All 250 pairs on the Character Customization page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

AO Tennis 2 2020 · $1.9M TIEBREAK – GRAND SLAM EDITION 2024 · $1.0M Tennis World Tour 2 2020 · $242k Pure Badminton 2025 · $194k Matchpoint - Tennis Championships 2022 · $140k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
AO Tennis 2 older $49.99 1,236 70% 37k $1.9M (exactly $1,853,629) Big Ant Studios
TIEBREAK – GRAND SLAM EDITION older $49.99 668 76% 20k $1.0M (exactly $1,001,800) Big Ant Studios
Tennis World Tour 2 older $39.99 202 49% 6.1k $242k (exactly $242,339) Big Ant Studios
Pure Badminton $19.99 323 81% 9.7k $194k (exactly $193,703) DS SOFT
Matchpoint - Tennis Championships older $39.99 117 70% 3.5k $140k (exactly $140,365) Torus Games
Tennis Manager 2023 older $9.99 158 81% 4.7k $47k (exactly $47,353) Rebound
Racket Club older $24.99 58 68% 1.7k $43k (exactly $43,483) Resolution Games
Super Tennis Blast older $14.99 88 81% 2.6k $40k (exactly $39,574) Unfinished Pixel
Tennis Manager 2022 older $9.99 114 77% 3.4k $34k (exactly $34,166) Rebound
PPA Pickleball Tour 2025 older $29.99 18 33% 540 $16k (exactly $16,195) FarSight Studios
Nickelodeon Extreme Tennis: Next! $29.99 11 81% 330 $9.9k (exactly $9,897) Old Skull Games
TORSO TENNIS $4.99 63 100% 1.9k $9.4k (exactly $9,431) Michael Mato
Ping Pong Deluxe $2.99 7 100% 210 $628 (exactly $628) Tschutscha Games
Cross Court Tennis 3 $8.99 2 100% 60 $539 (exactly $539) Refined Games Inc
Stickman 3D Tennis DELUXE $0.99 9 88% 270 $267 (exactly $267) Yurii Nikshych
Toonie Tennis $0.99 2 100% 60 $59 (exactly $59) Ravi Gyani
Robo Tennis $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Morne de Kock
Tennis · EA $6.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Hard Shark Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.