Do I ship it?

GamesShoot 'Em UpShoot 'Em Up + Faith

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Faith Shoot 'Em Up?

Shoot 'Em Up + Faith

Only 13 developers shipped a Faith Shoot 'Em Up in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Touhou Koumakyou: New Classic - the Embodiment of Scarlet Devil, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $17k, ×36 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $1.5k. Revenue is up 45% on the market; 13 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 36.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 45% on the market, 13 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Shoot 'Em Up + Faith
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.2k → $1.4k → $21k → $2.0M (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Shoot 'Em Up + Faith: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $1.5k (exactly $1,498)
Median $17k (exactly $17,083)
Top 25% $95k (exactly $95,040)
Top 5% $2.0M (exactly $2,018,478)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 75
Announced 13
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 45% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Shoot 'Em Up
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Faith
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Shoot 'Em Up; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Bullet Hell, Shooter
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Anime, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 6,399 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.5k, median $17k, 1 in 4 over $95k, 1 in 20 over $2.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.5k. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 13 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Shoot 'Em Up with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomanceFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 7 announced
  2. + VampiresFair15 devs · median $1.3k · 7 announced
  3. + Quick-Time EventsFair8 devs · median $1.2k · 12 announced
  4. + IncrementalFair39 devs · median $628 · 36 announced
  5. + IdlerFair36 devs · median $628 · 14 announced
  6. + Tower DefenseFair70 devs · median $599 · 54 announced
  7. + Resource ManagementFair26 devs · median $599 · 34 announced
  8. + ArcadeFair749 devs · median $419 · 783 announced
  9. + SwordplayLong shot13 devs · median $300 · 5 announced
  10. + MusicPoor odds12 devs · median $9.0k · 12 announced
  11. + LovecraftianPoor odds8 devs · median $8.1k · 20 announced
  12. + Visual NovelPoor odds11 devs · median $5.8k · 12 announced

All 169 pairs on the Shoot 'Em Up page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Touhou Koumakyou: New Classic - the Embodiment of Scarlet Devil $17.99 3,740 98% 112k $2.0M (exactly $2,018,478) 上海アリス幻樂団, 上海アリスReprise
Touhou Tenkuushou ~ Hidden Star in Four Seasons. older $14.99 4,312 98% 129k $1.9M (exactly $1,939,106) 上海アリス幻樂団
TouHou Makuka Sai ~ Fantastic Danmaku Festival Part II older $12.99 2,458 96% 74k $958k (exactly $957,883) 东方幕华祭制作组
Touhou Kouryudou ~ Unconnected Marketeers. older $14.99 1,756 97% 53k $790k (exactly $789,673) 上海アリス幻樂団
Touhou Fuujinroku ~ Mountain of Faith. older $14.99 1,621 98% 49k $729k (exactly $728,964) 上海アリス幻樂団
Touhou Kanjuden ~ Legacy of Lunatic Kingdom. older $14.99 1,516 98% 45k $682k (exactly $681,745) 上海アリス幻樂団
Touhou Juuouen 〜 Unfinished Dream of All Living Ghost. older $14.99 1,174 93% 35k $528k (exactly $527,948) 上海アリス幻樂団
TouHou Makuka Sai ~ Fantastic Danmaku Festival Part III $13.99 1,242 90% 37k $521k (exactly $521,267) 东方幕华祭制作组
Touhou Kikeijuu ~ Wily Beast and Weakest Creature. older $14.99 1,031 97% 31k $464k (exactly $463,641) 上海アリス幻樂団
Touhou Endless Dream older $7.99 1,705 93% 51k $409k (exactly $408,688) a10a010, MyACG Studio
Touhou Kinjoukyou ~ Fossilized Wonders. $14.99 832 91% 25k $374k (exactly $374,150) 上海アリス幻樂団
Touhou Koumakyou: Classic - the Embodiment of Scarlet Devil $17.99 188 98% 5.6k $101k (exactly $101,464) 上海アリス幻樂団, 上海アリスReprise
Touhou Lensed Night Sky, Kaseigai $22.00 144 95% 4.3k $95k (exactly $95,040) Fire Land
東方资志疏 ~ Immortal Immanuel. (东方资志疏) $9.99 103 94% 3.1k $31k (exactly $30,869) 雾雨威Channel, 沙包聚集地制作组
Touhou Kouzougi ~ Flickerframe Shutter Festival $14.99 47 93% 1.4k $21k (exactly $21,136) Ryann Thierry
Disaster Arms - Impact Project B.A.H.N. $9.99 57 100% 1.7k $17k (exactly $17,083) PD_CGT
東方恋物語 ~ Locked Together $4.99 15 100% 450 $2.2k (exactly $2,246) Mugenri
Pain to Satisfaction · EA $1.99 31 100% 930 $1.9k (exactly $1,851) WSG Entertainment

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.