Do I ship it?

GamesRPGRPG + Job Simulator

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Job Simulator RPG?

RPG + Job Simulator

Of 25 developers who shipped a Job Simulator RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 34 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $21k, ×33 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $7.6k; 1 in 20 cleared $880k, ×1416 the market median. Revenue is up 1255% on the market; 34 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 32.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 1255% on the market, 34 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
RPG + Job Simulator
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 25
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $7.5k → $21k → $56k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for RPG + Job Simulator: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 25
Bottom 30% $7.5k (exactly $7,541)
Median $21k (exactly $20,565)
Top 25% $84k (exactly $83,916)
Top 5% $889k (exactly $889,355)
Developers, 2 yr 25
Released games 34
Announced 34
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1255% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

RPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Job Simulator
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
RPG, Job Simulator; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Life Sim, Management
Price point
$11.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 6,602 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $7.6k, median $21k, 1 in 4 over $83k, 1 in 20 over $880k.

3 in 10 developers made under $7.6k. 8 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 34 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds169 devs · median $54k · 144 announced
  2. + IdlerFair357 devs · median $2.2k · 471 announced
  3. + Boss RushFair20 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  4. + SportsFair113 devs · median $1.5k · 124 announced
  5. + Combat RacingFair22 devs · median $629 · 28 announced
  6. + Split ScreenFair28 devs · median $450 · 31 announced
  7. + Precision PlatformerFair41 devs · median $449 · 43 announced
  8. + SamuraiPoor odds14 devs · median $261k · 14 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds76 devs · median $96k · 165 announced
  10. + 4XPoor odds26 devs · median $54k · 56 announced
  11. + MinigamesPoor odds19 devs · median $40k · 34 announced
  12. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds15 devs · median $28k · 19 announced

All 262 pairs on the RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Ranch of Rivershine $29.99 2,050 94% 62k $1.8M (exactly $1,844,385) Cozy Bee Games
Bladesong · EA $19.99 1,483 95% 44k $889k (exactly $889,355) SUN AND SERPENT creations
Thank You For Your Application $19.99 953 81% 29k $572k (exactly $571,514) IceLemonTea Studio
Witchy Business $14.99 865 86% 26k $389k (exactly $388,990) Rogue Duck Interactive
Bear's Restaurant older $12.99 649 94% 19k $253k (exactly $252,915) Odencat
Final Profit: A Shop RPG older $14.99 520 95% 16k $234k (exactly $233,844) Brent Arnold
Japanese Rural Life Adventure $24.99 238 80% 7.1k $178k (exactly $178,429) G-MODE, GAME START LLC
Fishing Paradiso older $14.99 301 91% 9.0k $135k (exactly $135,360) Odencat
While the Iron's Hot older $19.99 188 80% 5.6k $113k (exactly $112,744) Bontemps Games
K-pop Idol Stories: Road to Debut $19.99 175 53% 5.3k $105k (exactly $104,947) Wisageni Studio
Pawn Planet $9.99 280 71% 8.4k $84k (exactly $83,916) Gambol Games
High Seas, High Profits! $14.99 165 86% 5.0k $74k (exactly $74,200) lexy.zip
Chipmatic $11.99 158 65% 4.7k $57k (exactly $56,833) Molter
Perfume Atelier $7.99 235 89% 7.1k $56k (exactly $56,330) Keep The Engine Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.