Do I ship it?

GamesInvestigationInvestigation + Word Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Investigation Word Game?

Investigation + Word Game

Of 35 developers who shipped an Investigation Word Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 51 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.6 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $2.0M, ×4259 the market median. Revenue is up 530% on the market; 51 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 530% on the market, 51 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Investigation + Word Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 35
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $40k → $1.0k → $600 → $772 → $12k → $2.8k (still earning) → $9.5k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Investigation + Word Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 35
Bottom 30% $600 (exactly $600)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,258)
Top 25% $20k (exactly $19,655)
Top 5% $2.0M (exactly $2,022,933)
Developers, 2 yr 35
Released games 79
Announced 51
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 530% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Investigation
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Word Game
effort 1 / 10 · high · dictionary logic and simple UI

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Investigation, Word Game; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Visual Novel, RPG
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Atmospheric, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 11,195 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $19k, 1 in 20 over $2.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 8 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 51 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Investigation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Escape RoomFair61 devs · median $2.1k · 50 announced
  2. + IdlerFair15 devs · median $898 · 16 announced
  3. + TriviaLong shot8 devs · median $215 · 9 announced
  4. + LGBTQ+Poor odds42 devs · median $39k · 70 announced
  5. + JRPGPoor odds16 devs · median $12k · 27 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds64 devs · median $9.0k · 121 announced
  7. + RomancePoor odds62 devs · median $9.0k · 101 announced
  8. + GothicPoor odds26 devs · median $8.1k · 54 announced
  9. + LovecraftianPoor odds56 devs · median $7.2k · 104 announced
  10. + Dating SimPoor odds37 devs · median $6.6k · 50 announced
  11. + Card GamePoor odds14 devs · median $6.6k · 34 announced
  12. + SciencePoor odds21 devs · median $5.9k · 36 announced

All 134 pairs on the Investigation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Cyber Manhunt older $9.99 14,520 92% 436k $4.4M (exactly $4,351,644) Aluba Van+
Far Away older $12.99 7,598 94% 228k $3.0M (exactly $2,960,941) Gratesca
Lay a Beauty to Rest: The Darkness Peach Blossom Spring older $13.99 6,310 95% 189k $2.6M (exactly $2,648,307) 零创游戏(ZerocreationGame)
The Séance of Blake Manor $19.99 3,683 95% 110k $2.2M (exactly $2,208,695) Spooky Doorway
Cyber Manhunt 2: New World - The Hacking Simulator $12.99 5,191 92% 156k $2.0M (exactly $2,022,933) Aluba Van+
7 Days to End with You older $7.99 3,327 87% 100k $797k (exactly $797,482) Lizardry
Roman's Christmas / 罗曼圣诞探案集 older $10.99 1,395 95% 42k $460k (exactly $459,932) SelfCrop Studio
Misty Judgment $8.99 1,170 92% 35k $316k (exactly $315,549) 次元边界
Logiart Grimoire older $19.99 336 94% 10k $201k (exactly $201,499) Jupiter Corporation
Shanghai Summer older $12.99 393 89% 12k $153k (exactly $153,152) FUTU Studio
Gensokyo:Presumption of Guilt~Pansies Before Dawn $14.99 250 92% 7.5k $112k (exactly $112,425) 戏壤游戏(Xirang Games)
Puzzle Spy International $12.50 148 91% 4.4k $56k (exactly $55,500) Travel-Friendly Cake
Rubbings $9.99 183 87% 5.5k $55k (exactly $54,845) 午夜说书人
咒影 Curse of the Shadow $3.99 285 81% 8.6k $34k (exactly $34,114) 小青蛙妙妙制作组
全网有点怪 $7.99 106 66% 3.2k $25k (exactly $25,408) Aluba Van+
无名者 $7.99 97 95% 2.9k $23k (exactly $23,251) Origincourtyard世界庭院, 三七洛九
The Kuon Island Nursery Rhyme Murders: Case Notes $7.99 82 54% 2.5k $20k (exactly $19,655) Renka

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.