Do I ship it?

GamesInvestigationInvestigation + Science

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Science Investigation game?

Investigation + Science

Of 21 developers who shipped a Science Investigation game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 36 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $5.9k, ×12 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $780; 1 in 20 cleared $430k, ×917 the market median. Revenue is down 55% on the market; 36 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 12.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 55% on the market, 36 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Investigation + Science
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $114k → $1.8k → $74k → $7.9k → $37k → $150 (still earning) → $8.4k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Investigation + Science: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $779 (exactly $779)
Median $5.9k (exactly $5,930)
Top 25% $74k (exactly $74,363)
Top 5% $435k (exactly $435,464)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 76
Announced 36
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 115% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Investigation
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Science
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Investigation; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Puzzle, Hidden Object
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 3,734 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $780, median $5.9k, 1 in 4 over $74k, 1 in 20 over $430k.

3 in 10 developers made under $780. 6 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 36 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Investigation with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Escape RoomFair61 devs · median $2.1k · 50 announced
  2. + IdlerFair15 devs · median $898 · 16 announced
  3. + TriviaLong shot8 devs · median $215 · 9 announced
  4. + LGBTQ+Poor odds42 devs · median $39k · 70 announced
  5. + JRPGPoor odds16 devs · median $12k · 27 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds64 devs · median $9.0k · 121 announced
  7. + RomancePoor odds62 devs · median $9.0k · 101 announced
  8. + GothicPoor odds26 devs · median $8.1k · 54 announced
  9. + LovecraftianPoor odds56 devs · median $7.2k · 104 announced
  10. + Dating SimPoor odds37 devs · median $6.6k · 50 announced
  11. + Card GamePoor odds14 devs · median $6.6k · 34 announced
  12. + NoirPoor odds112 devs · median $5.5k · 230 announced

All 134 pairs on the Investigation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
while True: learn() older $12.99 7,350 91% 221k $2.9M (exactly $2,864,295) Luden.io
Ghost Exorcism INC. · EA older $11.99 4,256 76% 128k $1.5M (exactly $1,530,883) StudioGoupil
Botany Manor older $24.99 1,028 94% 31k $771k (exactly $770,692) Balloon Studios
The House of Tesla: Definitive Edition $24.99 836 72% 25k $627k (exactly $626,749) Blue Brain Games
Nucleares older $14.99 1,121 84% 34k $504k (exactly $504,114) Iván Marcelo Pretti
The Message from Deep Space $9.99 1,453 96% 44k $435k (exactly $435,464) Applesinmypants
Machinika: Museum older $7.99 1,184 91% 36k $284k (exactly $283,805) Littlefield Studio
Haven Moon older $11.99 646 77% 19k $232k (exactly $232,366) Francois Roussel
Machinika: Atlas $11.99 574 76% 17k $206k (exactly $206,468) Littlefield Studio
Tested on Humans: Escape Room older $9.99 434 87% 13k $130k (exactly $130,070) mc2games
Emergency Room Simulator $24.99 154 43% 4.6k $115k (exactly $115,454) Caipirinha Games
Looking For Fael $19.99 165 98% 5.0k $99k (exactly $98,950) Swing Swing Submarine, La Poule Noire,… (Swing Swing Submarine, La Poule Noire, ARTE France)
The House of Da Vinci VR $24.99 126 93% 3.8k $94k (exactly $94,462) Blue Brain Games
Exographer $19.99 124 94% 3.7k $74k (exactly $74,363) SciFunGames
60 Minutes to Extinction: Escape Room $7.99 153 82% 4.6k $37k (exactly $36,674) mc2games
法医探案团之碎嘴小诗 $3.99 135 77% 4.1k $16k (exactly $16,160) 芒果互娱
Galactum Meridian · EA $19.99 14 14% 420 $8.4k (exactly $8,396) Hedra Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.