Do I ship it?

GamesJRPGJRPG + Investigation

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Investigation JRPG?

JRPG + Investigation

Only 16 developers shipped an Investigation JRPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, RAIDOU Remastered: The Mystery of the Soulless Army, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×4.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $12k, ×19 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.0k; 1 in 20 cleared $1.5M, ×2496 the market median. Revenue is up 305% on the market; 27 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 18.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 305% on the market, 27 announced, ×4.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
JRPG + Investigation
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $37k → $13k → $12k → $39k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for JRPG + Investigation: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $2.0k (exactly $1,973)
Median $12k (exactly $11,870)
Top 25% $39k (exactly $38,661)
Top 5% $1.6M (exactly $1,567,186)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 57
Announced 27
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 305% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

JRPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Investigation
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
JRPG, Investigation; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Puzzle
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $49.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2.5D, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $49.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 1,852 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.0k, median $12k, 1 in 4 over $38k, 1 in 20 over $1.5M.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.0k. 8 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

JRPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds12 devs · median $54k · 6 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonStrong odds43 devs · median $21k · 23 announced
  3. + NinjaFair7 devs · median $19k · 10 announced
  4. + RomanceFair153 devs · median $13k · 164 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair219 devs · median $13k · 265 announced
  6. + ManagementFair37 devs · median $9.4k · 35 announced
  7. + Souls-likeFair31 devs · median $8.6k · 35 announced
  8. + Point & ClickFair41 devs · median $8.4k · 45 announced
  9. + LootFair34 devs · median $5.5k · 41 announced
  10. + RoguelikeFair85 devs · median $5.2k · 103 announced
  11. + 2D PlatformerFair150 devs · median $4.2k · 157 announced
  12. + Artificial IntelligenceFair25 devs · median $4.0k · 21 announced

All 142 pairs on the JRPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
RAIDOU Remastered: The Mystery of the Soulless Army $49.99 1,045 93% 31k $1.6M (exactly $1,567,186) ATLUS
The Test older $1.99 19,599 96% 588k $1.2M (exactly $1,170,060) Randumb Studios
Spirit Hunter: Death Mark older $49.99 344 86% 10k $516k (exactly $515,897) EXPERIENCE
Lost Dimension older $24.99 221 72% 6.6k $166k (exactly $165,684) FURYU Corporation
Life With a College Girl older $10.99 338 86% 10k $111k (exactly $111,439) Boru
The Testing Chamber older $4.99 697 96% 21k $104k (exactly $104,341) Randumb Studios
The Remake of the End of the Greatest RPG of All Time $17.99 146 86% 4.4k $79k (exactly $78,796) Coin Drop Games, Lucas Immanuel, jucobe… (Coin Drop Games, Lucas Immanuel, jucobee, Kyle Chuang)
Suicide Countdown: 7 Days older $1.99 989 79% 30k $59k (exactly $59,043) 致意
Island of Penance older $12.99 148 45% 4.4k $58k (exactly $57,676) ONEONE1
Neon Blood $17.99 73 60% 2.2k $39k (exactly $39,398) ChaoticBrain Studios
Elton Manor: Requiem of the Cursed Roses $9.99 129 93% 3.9k $39k (exactly $38,661) 阿魯, Playmeow
Naked Interrogation Simulator $4.99 180 71% 5.4k $27k (exactly $26,946) オッパイーツ
Makai Agito $9.99 72 94% 2.2k $22k (exactly $21,578) Gumi Bytes, Dani Sugimoto-Lee
Dig Night $3.99 110 99% 3.3k $13k (exactly $13,167) INUSHIT
New Eromancer $11.99 33 48% 990 $12k (exactly $11,870) OneCoin
Deluge $9.99 31 100% 930 $9.3k (exactly $9,291) Riggy2k3
Work Life Balance $8.99 33 96% 990 $8.9k (exactly $8,900) LandUni Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.