Do I ship it?

GamesInvestigationInvestigation + Romance

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Romance Investigation game?

Investigation + Romance

Of 62 developers who shipped a Romance Investigation game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 101 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $9.0k, ×19 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.6k; 1 in 20 cleared $360k, ×762 the market median. Revenue is down 30% on the market; 101 games are announced against 32 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 18.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 30% on the market, 101 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Investigation + Romance
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 62
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $18k → $3.6k → $34k → $17k → $5.0k → $79k → $6.6k (still earning) → $1.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Investigation + Romance: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 62
Bottom 30% $1.6k (exactly $1,559)
Median $9.0k (exactly $8,991)
Top 25% $54k (exactly $53,514)
Top 5% $362k (exactly $362,139)
Developers, 2 yr 62
Released games 177
Announced 101
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Investigation
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Romance
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Investigation; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Visual Novel, Adventure, Interactive Fiction
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Anime, Emotional
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 6,993 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.6k, median $9.0k, 1 in 4 over $53k, 1 in 20 over $360k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.6k. 6 in 10 of the 33 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 101 games are announced against 32 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Investigation with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Escape RoomFair61 devs · median $2.1k · 50 announced
  2. + IdlerFair15 devs · median $898 · 16 announced
  3. + TriviaLong shot8 devs · median $215 · 9 announced
  4. + LGBTQ+Poor odds42 devs · median $39k · 70 announced
  5. + JRPGPoor odds16 devs · median $12k · 27 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds64 devs · median $9.0k · 121 announced
  7. + GothicPoor odds26 devs · median $8.1k · 54 announced
  8. + LovecraftianPoor odds56 devs · median $7.2k · 104 announced
  9. + Dating SimPoor odds37 devs · median $6.6k · 50 announced
  10. + Card GamePoor odds14 devs · median $6.6k · 34 announced
  11. + SciencePoor odds21 devs · median $5.9k · 36 announced
  12. + NoirPoor odds112 devs · median $5.5k · 230 announced

All 134 pairs on the Investigation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Lay a Beauty to Rest: The Darkness Peach Blossom Spring older $13.99 6,310 95% 189k $2.6M (exactly $2,648,307) 零创游戏(ZerocreationGame)
Love, Money, Rock'n'Roll older $9.99 3,726 81% 112k $1.1M (exactly $1,116,682) Soviet Games
Crushed In Time $24.99 1,247 90% 37k $935k (exactly $934,876) Draw Me A Pixel
ANONYMOUS;CODE older $59.99 510 78% 15k $918k (exactly $917,847) MAGES. Inc.
The Genesis Order older $14.99 1,862 87% 56k $837k (exactly $837,341) NLT Media
7 Days to End with You older $7.99 3,327 87% 100k $797k (exactly $797,482) Lizardry
再见断刀 $9.99 2,563 92% 77k $768k (exactly $768,131) 非侠游戏
The Shell Part II: Purgatorio older $24.99 588 95% 18k $441k (exactly $440,824) Innocent Grey
Foolish Mortals $19.99 663 94% 20k $398k (exactly $397,601) Inklingwood Studios
A Guidebook of Babel older $14.99 877 92% 26k $394k (exactly $394,387) StarryStarry
Best Served Cold $17.99 671 87% 20k $362k (exactly $362,139) Rogueside
Stellar Code $24.98 448 97% 13k $336k (exactly $335,731) Fragaria
On Your Tail $19.99 292 87% 8.8k $175k (exactly $175,112) Memorable Games
Taboo University Book One $14.99 332 79% 10k $149k (exactly $149,300) ViNovella Games
HARDCODED $16.99 282 90% 8.5k $144k (exactly $143,735) Ghost Hug Games
Gensokyo:Presumption of Guilt~Pansies Before Dawn $14.99 250 92% 7.5k $112k (exactly $112,425) 戏壤游戏(Xirang Games)
Shale Hill Secrets $14.99 245 80% 7.4k $110k (exactly $110,176) Love-Joint

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.