Do I ship it?

GamesInvestigationInvestigation + Card Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Investigation Card Game?

Investigation + Card Game

Only 14 developers shipped an Investigation Card Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Horror at Highrook, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 34 more are announced, ×4.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $6.6k, ×14 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $60; 1 in 20 cleared $270k, ×582 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 34 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 13.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 34 announced, ×4.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Investigation + Card Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $17k → $11k → $46k → $5.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Investigation + Card Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $6.6k (exactly $6,593)
Top 25% $19k (exactly $18,663)
Top 5% $276k (exactly $276,462)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 36
Announced 34
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Investigation
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Card Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · rules engine and card data

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Investigation, Card Game; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, RPG, Simulation
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Atmospheric, Hand-drawn
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 1,180 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $6.6k, 1 in 4 over $18k, 1 in 20 over $270k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. 7 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 34 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Investigation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Escape RoomFair61 devs · median $2.1k · 50 announced
  2. + IdlerFair15 devs · median $898 · 16 announced
  3. + TriviaLong shot8 devs · median $215 · 9 announced
  4. + LGBTQ+Poor odds42 devs · median $39k · 70 announced
  5. + JRPGPoor odds16 devs · median $12k · 27 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds64 devs · median $9.0k · 121 announced
  7. + RomancePoor odds62 devs · median $9.0k · 101 announced
  8. + GothicPoor odds26 devs · median $8.1k · 54 announced
  9. + LovecraftianPoor odds56 devs · median $7.2k · 104 announced
  10. + Dating SimPoor odds37 devs · median $6.6k · 50 announced
  11. + SciencePoor odds21 devs · median $5.9k · 36 announced
  12. + NoirPoor odds112 devs · median $5.5k · 230 announced

All 134 pairs on the Investigation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Depersonalization older $19.99 6,041 92% 181k $3.6M (exactly $3,622,788) MeowNature
Clue/Cluedo: Classic Edition older $16.99 3,096 88% 93k $1.6M (exactly $1,578,031) Marmalade Game Studio Ltd
The Horror at Highrook $19.99 461 90% 14k $276k (exactly $276,462) Nullpointer Games
The Solitaire Conspiracy older $11.99 742 89% 22k $267k (exactly $266,897) Bithell Games
Dead Town Tales older $11.99 417 82% 13k $150k (exactly $149,995) 拾遗工作室
Occlude $7.99 348 86% 10k $83k (exactly $83,416) Tributary Games
Nancy Drew®: The Phantom of Venice older $9.99 204 90% 6.1k $61k (exactly $61,139) HeR Interactive
The Magister older $14.99 103 91% 3.1k $46k (exactly $46,319) Nerdook Productions
Eyes of Hellfire · EA $9.99 153 70% 4.6k $46k (exactly $45,854) Gambrinous
The Specter's Desire older $19.99 47 97% 1.4k $28k (exactly $28,186) Themisian
Trading Card Inspector $6.99 89 96% 2.7k $19k (exactly $18,663) Daydream Gallery
Prison Notes $9.99 38 94% 1.1k $11k (exactly $11,389) 闻岚工坊(Vinland Studio)
Dungeon Tells $7.99 32 75% 960 $7.7k (exactly $7,670) Ace Benoff
Castaway Hand $9.99 22 36% 660 $6.6k (exactly $6,593) BAOCHUAN
DEATHMARK · EA $4.99 35 91% 1.1k $5.2k (exactly $5,240) Wired Creations Studio
Solitaire of Stygian Shadows $9.99 1 0% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Māris Ozols
Yorvik's Game $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) Firewake///Trails

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.