Do I ship it?

GamesInvestigationInvestigation + Gothic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Gothic Investigation game?

Investigation + Gothic

Of 26 developers who shipped a Gothic Investigation game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 54 more are announced, ×4.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $8.1k, ×17 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $900; 1 in 20 cleared $310k, ×664 the market median. Revenue is down 15% on the market; 54 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 17.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 15% on the market, 54 announced, ×4.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Investigation + Gothic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 26
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.4k → $1.3k → $2.7k → $7.2k → $9.9k → $4.8k → $239 (still earning) → $15k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Investigation + Gothic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 26
Bottom 30% $899 (exactly $899)
Median $8.1k (exactly $8,086)
Top 25% $50k (exactly $50,322)
Top 5% $316k (exactly $315,624)
Developers, 2 yr 26
Released games 58
Announced 54
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 15% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Investigation
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Gothic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Investigation; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Point & Click
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, Story Rich, Dark
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 32,494 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $900, median $8.1k, 1 in 4 over $50k, 1 in 20 over $310k.

3 in 10 developers made under $900. 6 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 54 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Investigation with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Escape RoomFair61 devs · median $2.1k · 50 announced
  2. + IdlerFair15 devs · median $898 · 16 announced
  3. + TriviaLong shot8 devs · median $215 · 9 announced
  4. + LGBTQ+Poor odds42 devs · median $39k · 70 announced
  5. + JRPGPoor odds16 devs · median $12k · 27 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds64 devs · median $9.0k · 121 announced
  7. + RomancePoor odds62 devs · median $9.0k · 101 announced
  8. + LovecraftianPoor odds56 devs · median $7.2k · 104 announced
  9. + Dating SimPoor odds37 devs · median $6.6k · 50 announced
  10. + Card GamePoor odds14 devs · median $6.6k · 34 announced
  11. + SciencePoor odds21 devs · median $5.9k · 36 announced
  12. + NoirPoor odds112 devs · median $5.5k · 230 announced

All 134 pairs on the Investigation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Magical Girl Witch Trials $29.99 29,869 96% 896k $27M (exactly $26,873,139) Acacia, Re,AER
Wytchwood older $19.99 4,030 92% 121k $2.4M (exactly $2,416,791) Alientrap
At Dead Of Night older $15.99 3,289 94% 99k $1.6M (exactly $1,577,733) Baggy Cat Ltd.
NORCO older $14.99 2,774 92% 83k $1.2M (exactly $1,247,468) Geography of Robots
Gabriel Knight: Sins of the Fathers 20th Anniversary Edition older $19.99 944 89% 28k $566k (exactly $566,117) Phoenix Online Studios, Pinkerton Road… (Phoenix Online Studios, Pinkerton Road Studio)
The Inquisitor older $39.99 277 66% 8.3k $332k (exactly $332,317) The Dust S.A.
ASYLUM $24.99 421 84% 13k $316k (exactly $315,624) Senscape
The Horror at Highrook $19.99 461 90% 14k $276k (exactly $276,462) Nullpointer Games
Clock Tower: Rewind $19.99 460 88% 14k $276k (exactly $275,862) WayForward, Limited Run Games
Black Closet older $19.99 246 91% 7.4k $148k (exactly $147,526) Hanako Games
Riddlewood Manor $14.99 132 93% 4.0k $59k (exactly $59,360) Peanut Button
Welcome to Doll Town $4.99 351 42% 11k $53k (exactly $52,545) Bad Wish Games
Daemonologie $2.99 561 92% 17k $50k (exactly $50,322) Katanalevy
The Crimson Maid $14.99 104 87% 3.1k $47k (exactly $46,769) GrimTalin, Darkania Works
Evil Awaits™ $16.99 49 75% 1.5k $25k (exactly $24,975) Chai Games
The Silver Crow $6.99 86 97% 2.6k $18k (exactly $18,034) Dreamagination

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.