Do I ship it?

GamesInvestigationInvestigation + Underground

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Underground Investigation game?

Investigation + Underground

Of 21 developers who shipped an Underground Investigation game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 38 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.1k, ×2.3 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $540; 1 in 20 cleared $20k, ×42 the market median. Revenue is up 160% on the market; 38 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 160% on the market, 38 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Investigation + Underground
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.9k → $6.1k → $718 → $1.2k → $3.0k → $1.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Investigation + Underground: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $539 (exactly $539)
Median $1.1k (exactly $1,079)
Top 25% $4.1k (exactly $4,075)
Top 5% $20k (exactly $20,135)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 45
Announced 38
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 160% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Investigation
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Underground
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Investigation; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Action
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $8.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $8.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 76% positive over 394 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $540, median $1.1k, 1 in 4 over $4.0k, 1 in 20 over $20k.

3 in 10 developers made under $540. All of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 38 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Investigation with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Escape RoomFair61 devs · median $2.1k · 50 announced
  2. + IdlerFair15 devs · median $898 · 16 announced
  3. + TriviaLong shot8 devs · median $215 · 9 announced
  4. + LGBTQ+Poor odds42 devs · median $39k · 70 announced
  5. + JRPGPoor odds16 devs · median $12k · 27 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds64 devs · median $9.0k · 121 announced
  7. + RomancePoor odds62 devs · median $9.0k · 101 announced
  8. + GothicPoor odds26 devs · median $8.1k · 54 announced
  9. + LovecraftianPoor odds56 devs · median $7.2k · 104 announced
  10. + Dating SimPoor odds37 devs · median $6.6k · 50 announced
  11. + Card GamePoor odds14 devs · median $6.6k · 34 announced
  12. + SciencePoor odds21 devs · median $5.9k · 36 announced

All 134 pairs on the Investigation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
while True: learn() older $12.99 7,350 91% 221k $2.9M (exactly $2,864,295) Luden.io
Tales From Off-Peak City Vol. 1 older $9.99 533 98% 16k $160k (exactly $159,740) Cosmo D
Drill and Delve $8.99 108 87% 3.2k $29k (exactly $29,128) noOne
Zardy's Cave $7.99 84 80% 2.5k $20k (exactly $20,135) Full Trek Media
Rat Cage older $9.99 31 80% 930 $9.3k (exactly $9,291) GosunSoft
Das Geisterschiff / The Ghost Ship older $9.99 30 83% 900 $9.0k (exactly $8,991) Graverobber Foundation
SUBSUMED $4.99 54 83% 1.6k $8.1k (exactly $8,084) Hazzy
Slendrina Remake $3.99 65 63% 2.0k $7.8k (exactly $7,780) GearMech
AccidentHouse older $3.99 63 74% 1.9k $7.5k (exactly $7,541) K App.
VSCS-II older $9.99 22 90% 660 $6.6k (exactly $6,593) Oliver Morrish
InfinityMine · EA $8.99 16 68% 480 $4.3k (exactly $4,315) HayaseWorks
Water of M: Beneath the School $7.99 17 88% 510 $4.1k (exactly $4,075) FangSealGames
PLATFORM 0 · EA $4.99 20 45% 600 $3.0k (exactly $2,994) CGI LAB GAMES
DEDALO - Escape Room Adventure $5.99 9 55% 270 $1.6k (exactly $1,617) M9 Games
The Empty Halls $3.99 13 53% 390 $1.6k (exactly $1,556) MrPogofu
Echoing Silence $4.99 8 75% 240 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) Riligo Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.