Do I ship it?

GamesInvestigationInvestigation + Time Travel

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Time-Travel Investigation game?

Investigation + Time Travel

Of 33 developers who shipped a Time-Travel Investigation game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 33 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.3k, ×4.9 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.1k; 1 in 20 cleared $580k, ×1223 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 33 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 33 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Investigation + Time Travel
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 33
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $13k → $1.0k → $81k → $3.8k → $1.9k → $2.3k (still earning) → $1.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Investigation + Time Travel: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 33
Bottom 30% $1.1k (exactly $1,079)
Median $2.3k (exactly $2,338)
Top 25% $81k (exactly $80,668)
Top 5% $581k (exactly $581,109)
Developers, 2 yr 33
Released games 73
Announced 33
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Investigation
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Time Travel
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Investigation; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Puzzle
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Atmospheric, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 6,937 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.1k, median $2.3k, 1 in 4 over $80k, 1 in 20 over $580k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.1k. 6 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 33 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Investigation with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Escape RoomFair61 devs · median $2.1k · 50 announced
  2. + IdlerFair15 devs · median $898 · 16 announced
  3. + TriviaLong shot8 devs · median $215 · 9 announced
  4. + LGBTQ+Poor odds42 devs · median $39k · 70 announced
  5. + JRPGPoor odds16 devs · median $12k · 27 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds64 devs · median $9.0k · 121 announced
  7. + RomancePoor odds62 devs · median $9.0k · 101 announced
  8. + GothicPoor odds26 devs · median $8.1k · 54 announced
  9. + LovecraftianPoor odds56 devs · median $7.2k · 104 announced
  10. + Dating SimPoor odds37 devs · median $6.6k · 50 announced
  11. + Card GamePoor odds14 devs · median $6.6k · 34 announced
  12. + SciencePoor odds21 devs · median $5.9k · 36 announced

All 134 pairs on the Investigation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Forgotten City older $24.99 11,159 96% 335k $8.4M (exactly $8,365,902) Modern Storyteller
Depersonalization older $19.99 6,041 92% 181k $3.6M (exactly $3,622,788) MeowNature
Enigma of Fear $29.99 3,045 95% 91k $2.7M (exactly $2,739,586) Dumativa, Cellbit
The Sexy Brutale older $19.99 2,895 91% 87k $1.7M (exactly $1,736,131) Cavalier Game Studios, Tequila Works
A Perfect Day older $19.99 1,733 84% 52k $1.0M (exactly $1,039,280) Perfect Day Studio
Accident older $14.99 1,462 76% 44k $657k (exactly $657,461) Duality Games, Spirit Games Studio
Old Skies $19.99 969 93% 29k $581k (exactly $581,109) Wadjet Eye Games
A Guidebook of Babel older $14.99 877 92% 26k $394k (exactly $394,387) StarryStarry
The Posthumous Investigation $19.99 554 94% 17k $332k (exactly $332,234) Mother Gaia Studio
Eternal Threads older $19.99 543 87% 16k $326k (exactly $325,637) Cosmonaut Studios
Cybernetic Fault $14.99 679 78% 20k $305k (exactly $305,346) Whale Rock Games
Radiolight $14.99 414 90% 12k $186k (exactly $186,176) Krystof Knesl
Chronoquartz $9.99 510 98% 15k $153k (exactly $152,847) Infinite Stairs
Yet Another Killing Game $16.99 242 96% 7.3k $123k (exactly $123,347) Soulseer Studios
The House of Da Vinci VR $24.99 126 93% 3.8k $94k (exactly $94,462) Blue Brain Games
Joyville 2 $12.99 207 72% 6.2k $81k (exactly $80,668) KudPlay Games
Pyramids and Aliens: Escape Room $12.99 191 81% 5.7k $74k (exactly $74,433) mc2games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.