Do I ship it?

GamesInvestigationInvestigation + Space

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Space Investigation game?

Investigation + Space

Of 32 developers who shipped a Space Investigation game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 70 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×2.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $830; 1 in 20 cleared $2.8M, ×4504 the market median. Revenue is up 40% on the market; 70 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 40% on the market, 70 announced, ×3.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Investigation + Space
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 32
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.8k → $770 → $5.3k → $3.5k → $822 → $106k → $1.8k (still earning) → $1.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Investigation + Space: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 32
Bottom 30% $822 (exactly $822)
Median $1.8k (exactly $1,799)
Top 25% $26k (exactly $26,387)
Top 5% $2.8M (exactly $2,828,269)
Developers, 2 yr 32
Released games 99
Announced 70
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.10

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 40% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Investigation
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Space
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Investigation; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action, Puzzle
Price point
$8.10 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $8.10.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 30,000 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $830, median $1.8k, 1 in 4 over $26k, 1 in 20 over $2.8M.

3 in 10 developers made under $830. 8 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 70 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Investigation with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Escape RoomFair61 devs · median $2.1k · 50 announced
  2. + IdlerFair15 devs · median $898 · 16 announced
  3. + TriviaLong shot8 devs · median $215 · 9 announced
  4. + LGBTQ+Poor odds42 devs · median $39k · 70 announced
  5. + JRPGPoor odds16 devs · median $12k · 27 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds64 devs · median $9.0k · 121 announced
  7. + RomancePoor odds62 devs · median $9.0k · 101 announced
  8. + GothicPoor odds26 devs · median $8.1k · 54 announced
  9. + LovecraftianPoor odds56 devs · median $7.2k · 104 announced
  10. + Dating SimPoor odds37 devs · median $6.6k · 50 announced
  11. + Card GamePoor odds14 devs · median $6.6k · 34 announced
  12. + SciencePoor odds21 devs · median $5.9k · 36 announced

All 134 pairs on the Investigation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
LOCKDOWN Protocol $9.99 16,605 86% 498k $5.0M (exactly $4,976,518) Mirage Creative Lab
Species: Unknown · EA $9.99 9,437 94% 283k $2.8M (exactly $2,828,269) WanadevStudio
The Message from Deep Space $9.99 1,453 96% 44k $435k (exactly $435,464) Applesinmypants
Stellar Code $24.98 448 97% 13k $336k (exactly $335,731) Fragaria
Cybernetic Fault $14.99 679 78% 20k $305k (exactly $305,346) Whale Rock Games
Machinika: Atlas $11.99 574 76% 17k $206k (exactly $206,468) Littlefield Studio
Between Horizons – A Sci-Fi Detective Adventure older $15.99 395 88% 12k $189k (exactly $189,482) DigiTales Interactive
Digger: Galactic Treasures $4.99 711 87% 21k $106k (exactly $106,437) RainStyle games
Prominence older $19.99 126 79% 3.8k $76k (exactly $75,562) Digital Media Workshop
Odysseus Kosmos and his Robot Quest (Complete Season) older $14.99 121 80% 3.6k $54k (exactly $54,414) Pavel Kostin
Cognition Method $19.99 44 77% 1.3k $26k (exactly $26,387) Team Cognition
MALPRAXIS™ $8.99 35 48% 1.1k $9.4k (exactly $9,440) Sunscorched Studios
Galactum Meridian · EA $19.99 14 14% 420 $8.4k (exactly $8,396) Hedra Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.