Do I ship it?

GamesInvestigationInvestigation + Roguelite

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Investigation Roguelite?

Investigation + Roguelite

Of 24 developers who shipped an Investigation Roguelite in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 58 more are announced, ×4.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.1k, ×4.4 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $190k, ×401 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 58 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.4 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 58 announced, ×4.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Investigation + Roguelite
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 24
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $7.3k → $1.2k → $4.0k → $8.4k → $719 → $4.3k (still earning) → $2.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Investigation + Roguelite: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 24
Bottom 30% $479 (exactly $479)
Median $2.1k (exactly $2,096)
Top 25% $8.7k (exactly $8,691)
Top 5% $190k (exactly $190,310)
Developers, 2 yr 24
Released games 49
Announced 58
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Investigation
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Roguelite
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Investigation, Roguelite; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Adventure, Choices Matter
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Atmospheric, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 18,448 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $2.1k, 1 in 4 over $8.6k, 1 in 20 over $190k.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 9 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 58 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Investigation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Escape RoomFair61 devs · median $2.1k · 50 announced
  2. + IdlerFair15 devs · median $898 · 16 announced
  3. + TriviaLong shot8 devs · median $215 · 9 announced
  4. + LGBTQ+Poor odds42 devs · median $39k · 70 announced
  5. + JRPGPoor odds16 devs · median $12k · 27 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds64 devs · median $9.0k · 121 announced
  7. + RomancePoor odds62 devs · median $9.0k · 101 announced
  8. + GothicPoor odds26 devs · median $8.1k · 54 announced
  9. + LovecraftianPoor odds56 devs · median $7.2k · 104 announced
  10. + Dating SimPoor odds37 devs · median $6.6k · 50 announced
  11. + Card GamePoor odds14 devs · median $6.6k · 34 announced
  12. + SciencePoor odds21 devs · median $5.9k · 36 announced

All 134 pairs on the Investigation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Blue Prince $29.99 17,498 85% 525k $16M (exactly $15,742,951) Dogubomb
沉默的蟋蟀 older $14.99 1,130 88% 34k $508k (exactly $508,161) 蓬莱飞鱼工作室
Feed The Pit $9.99 635 97% 19k $190k (exactly $190,310) Curious Fox Sox
Dead Town Tales older $11.99 417 82% 13k $150k (exactly $149,995) 拾遗工作室
The Testing Chamber older $4.99 697 96% 21k $104k (exactly $104,341) Randumb Studios
Bounty Trail $6.99 84 52% 2.5k $18k (exactly $17,615) September Games
The Detective Reaper Invites older $9.99 58 37% 1.7k $17k (exactly $17,383) SHIZU KANO UMI
Long Live Caesar $9.99 51 78% 1.5k $15k (exactly $15,285) Yury Khovansky, Vladislavs Viktorovs
BeatRider $11.99 32 53% 960 $12k (exactly $11,510) 无限电玩, Combo X Camp
MistsBook older $11.99 31 100% 930 $11k (exactly $11,151) Dehist Games
Mind Control: Bloody Renaissance $9.99 29 100% 870 $8.7k (exactly $8,691) BYYONI Entertainment
Atrium Mortis $7.99 36 100% 1.1k $8.6k (exactly $8,629) Hectic
Victor's Test Night: REVES $7.99 35 97% 1.1k $8.4k (exactly $8,390) 727 Not Hound
Dungeon Tells $7.99 32 75% 960 $7.7k (exactly $7,670) Ace Benoff
InfinityMine · EA $8.99 16 68% 480 $4.3k (exactly $4,315) HayaseWorks

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.