Do I ship it?

GamesInvestigationInvestigation + Robots

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Robot Investigation game?

Investigation + Robots

Only 15 developers shipped a Robot Investigation game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Talos Principle: Reawakened, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 33 more are announced, ×4.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.7k, ×2.8 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $400; 1 in 20 cleared $1.3M, ×2073 the market median. Revenue is up 95% on the market; 33 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 95% on the market, 33 announced, ×4.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Investigation + Robots
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $58k → $897 → $9.2k → $1.9k → $2.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Investigation + Robots: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $400 (exactly $400)
Median $1.7k (exactly $1,731)
Top 25% $3.1k (exactly $3,144)
Top 5% $1.3M (exactly $1,301,674)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 58
Announced 33
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.66

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 95% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Investigation
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Robots
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Investigation
Price point
$6.66 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 1,243 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $400, median $1.7k, 1 in 4 over $3.1k, 1 in 20 over $1.3M.

3 in 10 developers made under $400. 9 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 33 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Investigation with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Escape RoomFair61 devs · median $2.1k · 50 announced
  2. + IdlerFair15 devs · median $898 · 16 announced
  3. + TriviaLong shot8 devs · median $215 · 9 announced
  4. + LGBTQ+Poor odds42 devs · median $39k · 70 announced
  5. + JRPGPoor odds16 devs · median $12k · 27 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds64 devs · median $9.0k · 121 announced
  7. + RomancePoor odds62 devs · median $9.0k · 101 announced
  8. + GothicPoor odds26 devs · median $8.1k · 54 announced
  9. + LovecraftianPoor odds56 devs · median $7.2k · 104 announced
  10. + Dating SimPoor odds37 devs · median $6.6k · 50 announced
  11. + Card GamePoor odds14 devs · median $6.6k · 34 announced
  12. + SciencePoor odds21 devs · median $5.9k · 36 announced

All 134 pairs on the Investigation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Talos Principle: Reawakened $39.99 1,085 90% 33k $1.3M (exactly $1,301,674) Croteam
Nucleares older $14.99 1,121 84% 34k $504k (exactly $504,114) Iván Marcelo Pretti
Subsurface Circular older $5.99 1,496 94% 45k $269k (exactly $268,831) Bithell Games
Regular Factory: Escape Room older $9.99 210 91% 6.3k $63k (exactly $62,937) mc2games
Doomsday Robot Girl older $8.99 216 82% 6.5k $58k (exactly $58,255) Sunspot
Odysseus Kosmos and his Robot Quest (Complete Season) older $14.99 121 80% 3.6k $54k (exactly $54,414) Pavel Kostin
subROV : Underwater Discoveries · EA older $19.99 63 90% 1.9k $38k (exactly $37,781) sqr3lab
Paranormal Detective: Escape from the 80's older $9.99 82 92% 2.5k $25k (exactly $24,575) LunaBeat
Bot Colony · EA older $14.99 48 54% 1.4k $22k (exactly $21,586) North Side Inc.
INPUT6 older $3.99 160 96% 4.8k $19k (exactly $19,152) GOOSTRONAUT GAMES
MALPRAXIS™ $8.99 35 48% 1.1k $9.4k (exactly $9,440) Sunscorched Studios
The Builder - Season 2 · EA $10.99 28 57% 840 $9.2k (exactly $9,232) Lewd Robotics
Tale of android after the Apocalypse $4.99 21 80% 630 $3.1k (exactly $3,144) Team Moko App.
CINESCAPE VR $14.99 5 60% 150 $2.2k (exactly $2,248) SUPER AC
Sodahazard: Taste Test $9.99 7 85% 210 $2.1k (exactly $2,098) Mechadusto
P.I.S. $2.99 21 90% 630 $1.9k (exactly $1,884) STEAM STREET
Little H.O.P.E. $1.99 29 100% 870 $1.7k (exactly $1,731) Forja Umbra
Artificial Nexus $9.99 5 100% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) Too Many Teeth Studios
FOCUS $3.99 7 42% 210 $838 (exactly $838) kuma-hacker

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.