Do I ship it?

GamesInvestigationInvestigation + Puzzle Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Investigation Puzzle Platformer?

Investigation + Puzzle Platformer

Of 50 developers who shipped an Investigation Puzzle Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 96 more are announced, ×4.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×1.5 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $50k, ×107 the market median. Revenue is down 50% on the market; 96 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 96 announced, ×4.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Investigation + Puzzle Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 50
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.3k → $2.1k → $599 → $955 → $1.3k → $1.2k → $119 (still earning) → $479 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Investigation + Puzzle Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 50
Bottom 30% $114 (exactly $114)
Median $719 (exactly $719)
Top 25% $3.4k (exactly $3,414)
Top 5% $51k (exactly $50,649)
Developers, 2 yr 50
Released games 183
Announced 96
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Investigation
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Puzzle Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Investigation, Puzzle Platformer; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Puzzle, Exploration
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Atmospheric, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 976 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $720, 1 in 4 over $3.4k, 1 in 20 over $50k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 40 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 96 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Investigation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Escape RoomFair61 devs · median $2.1k · 50 announced
  2. + IdlerFair15 devs · median $898 · 16 announced
  3. + TriviaLong shot8 devs · median $215 · 9 announced
  4. + LGBTQ+Poor odds42 devs · median $39k · 70 announced
  5. + JRPGPoor odds16 devs · median $12k · 27 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds64 devs · median $9.0k · 121 announced
  7. + RomancePoor odds62 devs · median $9.0k · 101 announced
  8. + GothicPoor odds26 devs · median $8.1k · 54 announced
  9. + LovecraftianPoor odds56 devs · median $7.2k · 104 announced
  10. + Dating SimPoor odds37 devs · median $6.6k · 50 announced
  11. + Card GamePoor odds14 devs · median $6.6k · 34 announced
  12. + SciencePoor odds21 devs · median $5.9k · 36 announced

All 134 pairs on the Investigation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Murders on the Yangtze River older $14.99 15,833 96% 475k $7.1M (exactly $7,120,100) OMEGAMES STUDIO
Sanfu older $10.99 17,323 82% 520k $5.7M (exactly $5,711,393) Shiying Studio
Clue/Cluedo: Classic Edition older $16.99 3,096 88% 93k $1.6M (exactly $1,578,031) Marmalade Game Studio Ltd
Logiart Grimoire older $19.99 336 94% 10k $201k (exactly $201,499) Jupiter Corporation
Keyword: A Spider's Thread older $16.99 239 79% 7.2k $122k (exactly $121,818) City From Naught Inc.
墨心:波云诡船 older $2.99 1,175 88% 35k $105k (exactly $105,398) 1001 Studio
Joyville older $9.99 331 69% 9.9k $99k (exactly $99,201) KudPlay Games
Scarlet Hood and the Wicked Wood older $14.99 202 83% 6.1k $91k (exactly $90,839) Devespresso Games
Exographer $19.99 124 94% 3.7k $74k (exactly $74,363) SciFunGames
春泥 Soil of Rebirth $9.99 216 73% 6.5k $65k (exactly $64,735) 午夜说书人
Rubbings $9.99 183 87% 5.5k $55k (exactly $54,845) 午夜说书人
Auridia $9.99 169 97% 5.1k $51k (exactly $50,649) Reed Molbak, Norseboar Games
火起雪中寺 $10.99 59 77% 1.8k $19k (exactly $19,452) 江湖奇事录
The Strange Story Of Brian Fisher: Chapter 2 $14.99 34 94% 1.0k $15k (exactly $15,290) Intetic
Homicide Desk $5.99 82 67% 2.5k $15k (exactly $14,735) Shu'la Lab LLC
Memori · EA $14.99 22 95% 660 $9.9k (exactly $9,893) PracticalNPC
Sinheritance $4.99 54 94% 1.6k $8.1k (exactly $8,084) STIM GAMES
Trigger of Time $7.99 33 93% 990 $7.9k (exactly $7,910) Pantopie

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.