Do I ship it?

GamesInvestigationInvestigation + Psychological

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Psychological Investigation game?

Investigation + Psychological

Of 221 developers who shipped a Psychological Investigation game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 379 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.6k, ×3.5 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $100k, ×216 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 379 games are announced against 130 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.5 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 379 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Investigation + Psychological
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 221
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $7.7k → $1.8k → $2.8k → $1.9k → $2.3k → $2.2k → $1.4k (still earning) → $539 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Investigation + Psychological: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 221
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,647)
Top 25% $9.0k (exactly $8,982)
Top 5% $103k (exactly $102,532)
Developers, 2 yr 221
Released games 494
Announced 379
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Investigation
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Psychological
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Investigation; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, Story Rich, Dark
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 10,605 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $8.9k, 1 in 20 over $100k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 9 in 10 of the 107 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 379 games are announced against 130 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Investigation with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Escape RoomFair61 devs · median $2.1k · 50 announced
  2. + IdlerFair15 devs · median $898 · 16 announced
  3. + TriviaLong shot8 devs · median $215 · 9 announced
  4. + LGBTQ+Poor odds42 devs · median $39k · 70 announced
  5. + JRPGPoor odds16 devs · median $12k · 27 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds64 devs · median $9.0k · 121 announced
  7. + RomancePoor odds62 devs · median $9.0k · 101 announced
  8. + GothicPoor odds26 devs · median $8.1k · 54 announced
  9. + LovecraftianPoor odds56 devs · median $7.2k · 104 announced
  10. + Dating SimPoor odds37 devs · median $6.6k · 50 announced
  11. + Card GamePoor odds14 devs · median $6.6k · 34 announced
  12. + SciencePoor odds21 devs · median $5.9k · 36 announced

All 134 pairs on the Investigation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Blair Witch older $29.99 6,489 78% 195k $5.8M (exactly $5,838,153) Bloober Team SA
Sherlock Holmes Chapter One older $44.99 4,189 77% 126k $5.7M (exactly $5,653,893) Frogwares
Nobody Wants to Die older $24.99 5,818 83% 175k $4.4M (exactly $4,361,755) Critical Hit Games
BURIED STARS older $39.99 2,117 83% 64k $2.5M (exactly $2,539,765) LINE Games Corporation
SONG OF HORROR COMPLETE EDITION older $29.99 1,932 80% 58k $1.7M (exactly $1,738,220) Protocol Games
The Test older $1.99 19,599 96% 588k $1.2M (exactly $1,170,060) Randumb Studios
7 Days to End with You older $7.99 3,327 87% 100k $797k (exactly $797,482) Lizardry
Feign $4.99 5,270 91% 158k $789k (exactly $788,919) Teneke Kafalar
Murder House older $11.99 2,094 95% 63k $753k (exactly $753,212) Puppet Combo
Cats and the Other Lives older $19.99 1,089 91% 33k $653k (exactly $653,073) Cultic Games
Demons' Timeline $10.99 1,046 97% 31k $345k (exactly $344,866) DigitalCats
Mindlock - The Apartment $14.99 629 95% 19k $283k (exactly $282,861) Roof Cut Media
The Lightkeeper $7.99 1,081 81% 32k $259k (exactly $259,116) Darkphobia Games
Forensics: Crime Scene Detective $24.99 288 62% 8.6k $216k (exactly $215,914) Binary Impact, Alchemical Works
WE ARE SO DEAD · EA $7.99 672 73% 20k $161k (exactly $161,078) REAL PLAYERS
I'm on Observation Duty 7 $11.99 426 93% 13k $153k (exactly $153,232) Notovia, Dreamloop Games
Sister Ray $11.99 410 95% 12k $147k (exactly $147,477) The Growing Stones
Aurora Hills: Chapter 2 $7.99 533 98% 16k $128k (exactly $127,760) NovaSoft Interactive Ltd.
Gensokyo:Presumption of Guilt~Pansies Before Dawn $14.99 250 92% 7.5k $112k (exactly $112,425) 戏壤游戏(Xirang Games)

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.